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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ACHV

Trade-Ideas alert history 4 alerts 2022-04-272023-12-12

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 4 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 12, 1995 🔗 www.achievelifesciences.com
💰 Market Cap: $614.9M 👥 Employees: 28
Achieve Life Sciences Inc is a late-stage clinical specialty pharmaceutical company with the sole mission to address the nicotine dependence epidemic through the development and commercialization of cytisinicline. Cytisinicline, is a naturally occurring alkaloid. Additionally, The company has completed a Phase 2 study with cytisinicline in vaping cessation and conducted a successful end-of-Phase 2 meeting with the FDA for a future vaping indication. It operates in one operating segment, development and commercialization of cytisinicline for nicotine dependence, with operations located in Canada, the United States and the U.K.
Total alerts
4
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
25.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-10.11%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.47%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ACHV on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.50%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.50%
Best: -2.31%
Worst: -7.11%
Trades: 0/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -10.11%
Avg Winner: +2.88%
Avg Loser: -14.44%
Best: +2.88%
Worst: -15.31%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -12.01%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -16.29%
Best: +0.82%
Worst: -17.53%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -8.94%
Avg Winner: +2.88%
Avg Loser: -12.89%
Best: +2.88%
Worst: -17.90%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -11.29%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -15.42%
Best: +1.09%
Worst: -21.69%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.47%
Best MFE: +7.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 95 min

On average, ACHV alerts reach +3.47% profit potential within 95 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.01%
Worst MAE: -23.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.49:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, ACHV typically reaches +3.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.99%
Best Gap -1.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES

How ACHV compares to 13 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ACHV: -4.50% Sector: -0.64% -3.87%
EOD Gain
ACHV: -11.29% Sector: +794.58% -805.88%
Avg MFE
ACHV: +3.47% Sector: +12.24% -8.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ACHV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-12 09:26:00 $3.94 -7.11% -13.71% -14.59% -17.90% -20.05% - - -1.27% LOSS
2023-05-23 09:27:00 $7.93 -5.30% -14.31% -17.53% -12.45% -21.69% +0.76% - -1.64% LOSS
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $2.43 -3.29% +2.88% +0.82% +2.88% -4.53% +7.00% -4.53% -3.29% LOSS
2022-04-27 09:25:00 $7.35 -2.31% -15.31% -16.73% -8.31% +1.09% +6.12% -23.53% -1.77% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ ACHV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 25.0% win rate and -10.11% average gain, ACHV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ACHV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ACHV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ACHV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ACHV historically offers an average upside of +3.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ACHV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 25.0%, ACHV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ACHV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ACHV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -10.11%). This suggests ACHV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.