$ADT
Trade-Ideas alert history 16 alerts 2022-06-28 → 2025-01-08
⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 16 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading ADT on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ADT alerts reach +1.38% profit potential within 91 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.86%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, ADT typically reaches +1.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-DETECTIVE, GUARD & ARMORED CAR SERVICES
How ADT compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ADT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-08 | 09:28:52 | $6.96 | +0.14% | +0.07% | +0.29% | +0.07% | +1.01% | +1.29% | -0.43% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2025-01-02 | 09:29:16 | $6.96 | +0.22% | -0.22% | +0.86% | +1.22% | +0.29% | +1.44% | -0.29% | - | WIN |
| 2024-12-23 | 09:26:40 | $6.82 | -0.29% | -1.03% | -0.59% | -0.95% | -0.29% | +0.44% | -0.15% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:28:46 | $7.6 | +0.62% | +0.46% | +0.33% | +0.20% | -1.45% | +0.92% | +0.13% | +0.33% | WIN |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:25:10 | $7.23 | -0.14% | +0.14% | - | +0.83% | +0.28% | +0.97% | -0.41% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-10-28 | 09:27:48 | $7.35 | +0.07% | +0.75% | +0.54% | -0.34% | +0.27% | +1.50% | - | +0.95% | WIN |
| 2024-10-09 | 09:29:37 | $7.06 | -0.28% | -0.21% | -0.07% | -0.57% | -0.42% | +0.07% | -0.57% | -0.42% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-08 | 09:25:11 | $6.86 | -0.07% | -0.15% | +0.07% | +0.95% | +1.75% | +2.19% | -0.73% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-04-01 | 09:26:37 | $6.77 | -1.92% | -1.70% | -1.03% | -1.33% | -4.14% | -0.44% | -1.62% | -0.59% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-07 | 09:26:16 | $7.01 | -0.14% | +0.14% | -1.14% | -2.64% | -4.28% | +2.14% | -0.29% | +2.14% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-05 | 09:26:00 | $5.43 | +2.85% | +5.25% | +4.79% | +4.60% | +6.08% | +7.09% | +0.18% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2022-11-25 | 09:25:00 | $9.15 | -2.19% | -1.75% | -1.58% | -1.69% | -1.64% | -1.20% | -2.19% | -1.20% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-20 | 09:25:00 | $8.74 | -0.80% | -1.83% | -3.03% | -1.54% | -2.17% | -0.57% | -1.49% | -0.80% | LOSS |
| 2022-09-07 | 09:25:00 | $8.39 | -1.37% | -0.67% | -1.23% | -1.73% | +0.24% | +1.79% | -2.32% | - | LOSS |
| 2022-09-06 | 09:25:00 | $8.16 | -0.74% | -1.78% | -1.57% | -1.29% | +2.82% | +3.19% | -3.06% | -0.86% | LOSS |
| 2022-06-28 | 09:25:00 | $6.66 | -0.15% | -0.45% | +1.13% | -0.98% | -4.35% | +1.20% | -0.59% | -0.15% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ ADT Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.38% average gain, ADT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ADT for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ADT with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ADT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ADT historically offers an average upside of +1.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ADT Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ADT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ADT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ADT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.38%). This suggests ADT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.