FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AER

Trade-Ideas alert history 45 alerts 2022-03-092025-02-04

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 45 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Aercap Holdings N.V.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 21, 2006 🔗 www.aercap.com
💰 Market Cap: $23.06B 👥 Employees: 668
AerCap Holdings NV is an aircraft leasing company. Its activities include leasing, financing, sales, and management of commercial aircraft and engines. It also provides aircraft asset management and corporate services to securitization vehicles, joint ventures, and other third parties. It has one business segment: leasing, financing, sales, and management of commercial flight equipment (Commercial Flight Equipment Segment). Through its subsidiary, the group also provides engine leasing, certified aircraft engines, airframes, and engine parts. Its geographical segments include China, the United States, and Other countries.
Total alerts
45
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
62.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
+0.35%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.52%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AER on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.8%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.24%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +7.00%
Worst: -3.12%
Trades: 26/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.2%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +4.42%
Worst: -2.78%
Trades: 28/17

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +11.06%
Worst: -3.09%
Trades: 25/20

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.54%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +10.55%
Worst: -4.15%
Trades: 25/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +5.58%
Worst: -4.32%
Trades: 24/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.52%
Best MFE: +11.54%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, AER alerts reach +1.52% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.40%
Worst MAE: -4.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.78:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.78x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 45 alerts, AER typically reaches +1.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 45
Gap Up % 55.6%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +4.87%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AER alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-04 09:28:48 $94.61 +0.79% +0.82% +0.79% +0.80% +0.14% +1.13% -0.07% +0.20% WIN
2024-11-18 09:27:40 $96.2 -1.03% -1.02% -1.09% -1.03% -1.31% -0.44% -1.62% -1.25% LOSS
2024-11-05 09:27:41 $94.1 +1.20% +0.90% +1.30% +1.01% +1.66% +2.20% -0.78% -0.67% WIN
2024-09-03 09:27:13 $94.73 +1.74% +1.39% +0.28% -1.05% -2.43% +2.39% +1.34% +1.81% WIN
2024-08-28 09:28:26 $94.49 -0.08% -0.28% -0.81% -0.66% -0.38% +0.33% -0.50% -0.08% LOSS
2024-08-19 09:27:57 $93.43 +1.04% +0.95% +0.29% +0.37% +1.63% +1.68% +0.16% +0.61% WIN
2024-08-09 09:28:06 $91.0 +1.05% +0.58% +0.37% +0.26% +0.78% +1.41% -0.07% +0.68% WIN
2024-08-08 09:28:08 $89.5 +0.34% +1.68% +1.49% +2.64% +2.79% +3.47% +0.34% +1.07% WIN
2024-07-01 09:29:22 $95.0 -1.98% -2.31% -2.44% -2.41% -2.80% -0.95% -1.56% -1.40% LOSS
2024-06-11 09:25:53 $92.1 -1.03% -1.45% -1.88% -1.72% -2.14% -0.46% -0.99% -0.99% LOSS
2024-06-07 09:29:21 $89.2 +1.23% +2.20% +2.28% +2.14% +1.33% +2.59% +1.03% +1.46% WIN
2024-06-05 09:25:56 $92.85 -0.31% -0.16% -0.66% -0.70% -1.21% +0.37% -0.47% -0.31% LOSS
2024-05-28 09:29:46 $93.4 -0.44% -0.48% -1.25% -0.98% -1.71% -0.19% -0.73% -0.67% LOSS
2024-05-15 09:25:20 $91.65 -0.35% +0.62% +0.35% +1.17% +1.29% +2.05% -0.43% -0.43% LOSS
2024-05-02 09:28:53 $86.37 +1.01% +1.51% +0.50% +0.42% +0.52% +1.84% +0.12% +0.66% WIN
2024-03-18 09:29:07 $87.54 -1.33% -1.38% -1.44% -1.19% -1.46% -1.06% -1.92% -1.92% LOSS
2024-03-14 09:29:34 $84.04 -0.30% +0.01% -0.67% -0.61% +0.46% +0.92% -1.24% -0.14% LOSS
2023-12-20 09:25:00 $73.19 +0.16% +0.48% -0.20% +0.23% -1.82% +1.02% - +0.18% WIN
2023-11-30 09:29:00 $66.48 +0.48% +0.65% +1.59% +0.83% +2.62% +2.63% +0.36% +0.36% WIN
2023-11-29 09:29:00 $67.21 -0.26% +0.07% +0.27% -0.33% -1.09% +0.60% -1.04% -0.49% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 62.2% Baseline on AER

The 62.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push AER's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AER Strategy →

Why Analyze AER with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AER. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AER historically offers an average upside of +1.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AER Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.2%, AER shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AER performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.