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Ticker Report β€” Active Last signal Β·

$AFRM

Trade-Ideas alert history 587 alerts 2022-01-03 β†’ 2025-02-14

🏒 Company Profile

Affirm Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock PERSONAL CREDIT INSTITUTIONS (SIC 6141)
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Jan 13, 2021 πŸ”— www.affirm.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $21.91B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 2,206
Founded in 2012, Affirm is a market leader in the buy-now, pay-later space with around $36 billion in transaction volume in fiscal 2025. Affirm offers both zero-interest financing, which is merchant subsidized, and interest-bearing loans, which function as personal loans that are approved on a per-transaction basis. Over 70% of Affirm's transaction volume comes from its interest-bearing loans, which also comprise the majority of its revenue. Affirm primarily operates in the United States, which accounted for more than 95% of its revenue in 2025, but the firm has also expanded to Canada and the United Kingdom.
Total alerts
587
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· EOD
50.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· EOD
+0.21%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.43%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AFRM on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable AFRM setups

Historical AFRM setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.29%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +9.10%
Worst: -4.16%
Trades: 280/302

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.14%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +15.92%
Worst: -8.28%
Trades: 273/310

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.62%
Avg Loser: -2.18%
Best: +13.88%
Worst: -11.65%
Trades: 273/310

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +3.28%
Avg Loser: -2.77%
Best: +22.63%
Worst: -10.59%
Trades: 275/309

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +4.60%
Avg Loser: -4.26%
Best: +27.58%
Worst: -22.28%
Trades: 296/290

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.43%
Best MFE: +36.99%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, AFRM alerts reach +4.43% profit potential within 125 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.53%
Worst MAE: -11.60%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.53%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.9:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.9x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 587 alerts, AFRM typically reaches +4.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 587
Gap Up % 41.1%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.32%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PERSONAL CREDIT INSTITUTIONS

How AFRM compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AFRM: +0.10% Sector: +0.12% -0.02%
EOD Gain
AFRM: +0.21% Sector: +0.18% +0.03%
Avg MFE
AFRM: +4.43% Sector: +4.43% +0.00%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical AFRM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:27 $79.97 -0.94% -1.60% -2.16% -1.25% +0.90% +0.94% -2.39% -0.23% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:00 $75.93 +0.76% +0.73% +0.03% -0.40% -0.36% +1.41% -0.57% +0.29% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:58 $77.44 -1.74% -1.27% -0.56% -0.46% +0.75% +2.07% -2.14% +0.35% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:33 $75.32 -2.27% -1.09% +0.24% +4.43% +3.23% +5.78% -3.17% +0.36% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:25:40 $69.29 +3.00% +9.86% +4.75% +7.66% +8.56% +10.95% -1.43% +0.88% WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:34 $63.15 -0.86% -1.00% -0.93% -1.25% -2.22% +0.33% -1.82% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:19 $57.0 +2.66% +2.30% +3.44% +4.84% +5.05% +7.35% -0.41% +0.18% WIN
2025-01-28 09:29:27 $56.41 -2.16% -3.03% -0.63% -1.03% +2.18% +2.69% -3.16% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:11 $53.15 -0.48% +0.40% +2.15% +2.92% +3.80% +3.97% -1.92% +0.41% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:23 $59.0 -1.47% -1.03% -1.56% -3.49% -5.54% +0.75% -0.10% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:29:44 $59.3 +0.71% +0.83% -0.36% -0.01% -2.19% +1.79% -1.03% -0.61% WIN
2025-01-15 09:29:27 $60.44 -1.23% -2.19% -1.84% -0.60% -3.69% +1.37% -0.37% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:29:45 $56.69 -1.11% -0.49% -2.15% -0.85% -2.36% +0.69% -0.51% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:54 $57.42 -1.03% -0.59% -1.87% -3.38% -3.67% +0.80% -1.18% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:28:44 $60.6 +2.13% +1.47% -0.26% -1.09% -3.18% +2.39% +0.12% +0.36% WIN
2025-01-02 09:28:53 $62.0 -1.03% -0.13% +2.28% +1.18% +0.82% +3.26% -1.85% +0.37% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:25:27 $62.7 +0.61% +2.04% +1.94% +3.62% +4.69% +6.38% -1.28% -0.53% WIN
2024-12-19 09:29:04 $64.61 +2.74% +2.99% +0.36% -2.57% -2.49% +4.24% +0.11% +0.17% WIN
2024-12-18 09:28:54 $71.5 +1.62% -0.14% -0.52% -1.55% -11.41% +2.13% -0.70% - WIN
2024-12-17 09:25:18 $70.46 -1.53% -5.00% -1.96% -2.28% +0.61% +2.33% -5.38% -0.31% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 50.4% Baseline on AFRM

The 50.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push AFRM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AFRM Strategy β†’

Why Analyze AFRM with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AFRM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AFRM historically offers an average upside of +4.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š AFRM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.4%, AFRM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AFRM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.21%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.