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$AGNC

Trade-Ideas alert history 375 alerts 2022-01-24 β†’ 2025-02-14

🏒 Company Profile

AGNC Investment Corp. Common Stock REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: May 15, 2008 πŸ”— www.agnc.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $12.33B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 54
AGNC Investment Corp is a real estate investment trust that invests in agency residential mortgage-backed securities. The firm's asset portfolio is comprised of residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or by a U.S. Government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association. It also invests in other types of mortgage and mortgage-related residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities or other investments in or related to, the housing, mortgage, or real estate markets.
Total alerts
375
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· EOD
48.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· EOD
-0.12%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.08%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AGNC on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable AGNC setups

Historical AGNC setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +3.28%
Worst: -2.71%
Trades: 129/228

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.67%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +3.32%
Worst: -5.04%
Trades: 155/214

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +5.41%
Worst: -5.21%
Trades: 147/218

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.0%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +5.81%
Worst: -6.92%
Trades: 161/205

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +10.41%
Worst: -7.63%
Trades: 180/182

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.08%
Best MFE: +11.76%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, AGNC alerts reach +1.08% profit potential within 123 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.57%
Worst MAE: -4.71%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.57%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.9:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 375 alerts, AGNC typically reaches +1.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 375
Gap Up % 21.1%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +0.98%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How AGNC compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AGNC: -0.14% Sector: -0.14% +0.00%
EOD Gain
AGNC: -0.12% Sector: +296893.71% -296893.84%
Avg MFE
AGNC: +1.08% Sector: +2.11% -1.04%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical AGNC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:49 $10.34 +0.48% +0.58% +0.59% +0.97% +0.87% +1.06% -0.10% +0.08% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:47 $10.08 +0.01% -0.05% - +0.40% +0.99% +1.09% -0.30% - WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:18 $10.16 -0.29% -0.20% -0.04% +0.10% +0.20% +0.30% -0.25% - LOSS
2025-02-06 09:26:50 $10.12 +0.25% +0.15% +0.19% -0.05% +0.20% +0.49% -0.20% -0.10% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:01 $9.7 +0.57% +1.19% +1.60% +2.27% +2.58% +3.09% -0.21% +0.21% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:05 $9.97 -0.50% +0.00% +0.05% +0.25% - +0.90% -0.60% - LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:58 $9.91 +0.50% +0.35% +0.25% +1.01% +1.72% +1.82% -0.00% +0.10% WIN
2025-01-29 09:28:07 $9.87 +0.45% +0.56% +0.56% +0.61% -0.41% +0.91% - - WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:18 $9.7 +0.98% +1.08% +0.98% +0.77% +1.75% +1.91% -0.00% - WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:33 $9.67 +0.24% +1.40% +1.09% +1.24% +1.24% +1.76% -0.16% +0.21% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:49 $9.65 -0.05% +0.16% +0.05% +0.00% +0.31% +0.83% -0.21% -0.05% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:26:51 $9.71 +0.15% +0.05% +0.15% +0.20% -0.72% +0.31% -0.10% - WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:30 $9.73 -0.31% -0.36% -0.36% -0.05% -0.21% +0.41% -0.62% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:27 $9.67 -0.16% -0.13% +0.36% +0.19% +0.62% +0.62% -0.41% -0.26% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:27 $9.58 -0.05% +0.39% +0.52% +0.62% +0.31% +0.73% -0.21% - LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:15 $9.38 +0.79% +0.75% +0.53% +0.85% +1.81% +1.92% - +0.11% WIN
2025-01-15 09:29:20 $9.4 +0.16% -0.14% -0.37% -0.21% -0.11% +0.55% -0.11% - WIN
2025-01-13 09:29:24 $9.11 -0.49% -0.66% -0.44% -1.43% +0.11% +0.49% -1.65% +0.38% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:15 $9.25 -0.65% -0.88% -0.70% -0.59% -1.19% +0.22% -1.24% -0.43% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:25:19 $9.28 -0.65% -0.34% -0.86% -0.59% +0.11% +0.32% -1.19% -0.27% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AGNC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.0% win rate and -0.12% average gain, AGNC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AGNC for short-selling strategies.

πŸ“‰ Turn Negative Expectancy Positive β†’

Why Analyze AGNC with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AGNC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AGNC historically offers an average upside of +1.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š AGNC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.0%, AGNC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AGNC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AGNC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.12%). This suggests AGNC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.