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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$BJ

Trade-Ideas alert history 11 alerts 2022-03-032024-11-21

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 11 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock RETAIL-VARIETY STORES (SIC 5331)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 28, 2018 🔗 www.bjs.com
💰 Market Cap: $11.75B 👥 Employees: 35,000
BJ's Wholesale Club, founded in 1984, operates a membership-based warehouse club model primarily along the US East Coast, with roughly 250 clubs and a growing domestic presence across 21 states. In fiscal 2024, the company generated over $20 billion in revenue. BJ's offers a value-oriented assortment skewed toward grocery, perishables, and consumables (71% of sales), general merchandise (11%), and gasoline (18%). Its business model is supported by recurring membership fee income and private-label brands such as Wellsley Farms and Berkley Jensen.
Total alerts
11
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
63.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.05%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.95%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading BJ on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -1.93%
Best: +1.02%
Worst: -5.62%
Trades: 5/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +1.83%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: +3.73%
Worst: -3.32%
Trades: 5/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +2.50%
Worst: -4.51%
Trades: 5/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +2.55%
Worst: -4.81%
Trades: 7/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -2.20%
Best: +3.11%
Worst: -3.77%
Trades: 5/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.95%
Best MFE: +5.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, BJ alerts reach +2.95% profit potential within 69 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.22%
Worst MAE: -5.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.22%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.41:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.41x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, BJ typically reaches +2.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 54.5%
Avg Gap -0.33%
Best Gap +1.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-VARIETY STORES

How BJ compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BJ: -0.73% Sector: +0.00% -0.74%
EOD Gain
BJ: -0.60% Sector: -7.17% +6.56%
Avg MFE
BJ: +2.95% Sector: +1.47% +1.48%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BJ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-21 09:29:06 $89.99 -3.54% -3.32% +0.25% +1.91% +3.11% +5.20% -5.12% -0.56% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:27:40 $82.94 -1.69% -2.72% -1.78% -1.25% -1.54% +0.66% -1.42% -0.10% LOSS
2023-11-17 09:25:00 $64.25 +0.96% +2.74% +1.31% +2.16% +0.16% +5.21% -0.30% +0.78% WIN
2023-08-22 09:26:00 $68.75 -0.29% +0.36% -0.70% -1.59% -3.77% +2.14% -0.30% -0.23% LOSS
2023-07-20 09:25:00 $63.83 +0.13% -0.63% -0.44% +0.03% +0.49% +0.95% -0.99% +0.05% WIN
2023-05-23 09:28:00 $65.21 -0.30% +0.51% -1.38% +0.35% -1.01% +1.82% -1.07% +0.76% LOSS
2023-03-09 09:26:00 $77.05 +0.98% +1.82% +0.57% +0.77% -1.28% +2.38% - +1.00% WIN
2022-11-17 09:25:00 $76.75 -5.62% -2.38% -4.51% -4.81% -3.57% - -0.72% -6.19% LOSS
2022-08-18 09:25:00 $75.6 +0.41% -3.27% -1.04% -1.28% -2.00% +2.47% -0.57% +0.34% WIN
2022-05-19 09:25:00 $56.95 -0.14% -1.26% +1.91% +2.55% +0.77% +5.67% -1.51% -0.04% LOSS
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $56.05 +1.02% +3.73% +2.50% +0.57% +2.00% +5.89% -1.43% +0.54% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ BJ Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 63.6% win rate, BJ has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making BJ profitable.

🔧 Fix BJ Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze BJ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BJ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BJ historically offers an average upside of +2.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BJ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, BJ shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.23%) outweigh average wins (+1.19%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BJ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.05%). This suggests BJ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.