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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$CAR

Trade-Ideas alert history 11 alerts 2022-02-152024-06-26

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 11 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 02, 1968 🔗 www.avisbudgetgroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.32B 👥 Employees: 25,000
Avis Budget Group Inc is a provider of mobility solutions through its three brands Avis, Budget and Zipcar, as well as several other brands, well recognized in their respective markets. Its brands offer a range of options, from car and truck rental to car sharing. The company operates in two reportable business segments: Americas - (i) vehicle rental operations in North America, South America, Central America and the Caribbean, (ii) car sharing operations in certain of these markets, and (iii) licensees in the areas in which do not operate directly. International - consisting of (i) vehicle rental operations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia and Australasia, (ii) car sharing operations in certain of these markets, and (iii) licensees in the areas in which do not operate directly.
Total alerts
11
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
36.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-1.41%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.73%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CAR on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 9.1%
Avg Gain: -0.96%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +1.28%
Worst: -3.81%
Trades: 1/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 18.2%
Avg Gain: -1.39%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -2.04%
Best: +1.60%
Worst: -10.01%
Trades: 2/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 18.2%
Avg Gain: -1.55%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +2.55%
Worst: -10.87%
Trades: 2/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -1.81%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -2.89%
Best: +1.62%
Worst: -12.55%
Trades: 3/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -1.41%
Avg Winner: +2.75%
Avg Loser: -3.78%
Best: +5.07%
Worst: -10.47%
Trades: 4/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.73%
Best MFE: +6.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 138 min

On average, CAR alerts reach +1.73% profit potential within 138 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.44%
Worst MAE: -2.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.2:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, CAR typically reaches +1.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 9.1%
Avg Gap -0.91%
Best Gap +0.04%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)

How CAR compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CAR: -0.96% Sector: -0.02% -0.93%
EOD Gain
CAR: -1.41% Sector: +179.82% -181.23%
Avg MFE
CAR: +1.73% Sector: +5.77% -4.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CAR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-26 09:29:17 $110.81 -1.03% -0.46% -0.70% -0.83% -2.48% -0.46% -1.50% -0.90% LOSS
2024-06-14 09:27:04 $108.21 -0.82% -1.97% -2.52% -3.41% -2.74% -0.44% -2.01% -2.01% LOSS
2024-05-29 09:25:02 $111.24 -1.56% -0.95% -1.47% -0.22% -1.78% -0.22% -2.10% -2.10% LOSS
2024-05-02 09:28:01 $111.0 +1.28% +1.60% +0.39% +0.41% +2.50% +6.70% -1.40% -0.66% WIN
2024-04-12 09:25:34 $121.04 -1.02% -1.07% -1.80% -3.01% -5.21% -0.27% -1.02% -0.86% LOSS
2024-04-05 09:25:06 $121.49 -1.93% -1.56% -1.04% -1.47% -0.06% +0.84% -2.02% -1.93% LOSS
2024-04-04 09:28:38 $124.99 -0.70% -0.90% -0.60% -1.26% -3.75% +0.93% -2.02% -0.63% LOSS
2024-03-20 09:28:43 $115.25 -0.00% -0.45% -0.54% -0.35% +1.17% +1.99% -1.43% -0.38% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:28:52 $106.11 -0.00% +1.49% +2.55% +1.62% +5.07% +6.04% -0.97% -0.10% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:27:47 $108.07 -0.92% -0.97% -0.44% +1.20% +2.27% +3.96% -1.35% +0.04% LOSS
2022-02-15 09:25:00 $191.28 -3.81% -10.01% -10.87% -12.55% -10.47% -0.00% -0.00% -0.47% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CAR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 36.4% win rate and -1.41% average gain, CAR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CAR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CAR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CAR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CAR historically offers an average upside of +1.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CAR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 36.4%, CAR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CAR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CAR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.41%). This suggests CAR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.