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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$CDNA

Trade-Ideas alert history 8 alerts 2022-05-312024-10-01

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 8 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 17, 2014 🔗 www.caredx.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.11B 👥 Employees: 765
CareDx Inc operates as a precision medicine company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of clinically differentiated, high-value healthcare solutions for transplant patients and caregivers. It offers testing services, products, and digital solutions along with the pre- and post-transplant patient journey and is a provider of genomics-based information for transplant patients. The Company's commercially available testing services consist of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, a dd-cfDNA solution for heart transplant patients, and AlloSure Lung, a dd-cfDNA solution for lung transplant patients. Geographically it generates the majority of its revenue from the United States. The company generates the majority of revenue from the Testing services.
Total alerts
8
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
25.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.88%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.10%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CDNA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.88%
Avg Winner: +7.06%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +13.20%
Worst: -13.22%
Trades: 2/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -2.14%
Avg Winner: +5.88%
Avg Loser: -4.82%
Best: +11.40%
Worst: -8.05%
Trades: 2/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 12.5%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +28.86%
Avg Loser: -4.93%
Best: +28.86%
Worst: -6.62%
Trades: 1/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +13.00%
Avg Loser: -5.37%
Best: +25.93%
Worst: -7.80%
Trades: 2/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +16.95%
Avg Loser: -7.41%
Best: +29.81%
Worst: -13.72%
Trades: 2/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.10%
Best MFE: +36.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 55 min

On average, CDNA alerts reach +5.10% profit potential within 55 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.73%
Worst MAE: -3.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.73%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.96:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.96x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, CDNA typically reaches +5.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -0.87%
Best Gap +2.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES

How CDNA compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CDNA: -0.88% Sector: -0.18% -0.70%
EOD Gain
CDNA: -0.40% Sector: +911658.96% -911659.35%
Avg MFE
CDNA: +5.10% Sector: +11.20% -6.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CDNA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-01 09:26:08 $31.38 -0.89% -3.81% -4.17% -3.98% -1.45% -0.25% -0.41% -1.08% LOSS
2023-11-09 09:29:00 $8.01 -0.62% -8.05% -6.62% -7.80% -9.99% +0.87% -0.87% -0.12% LOSS
2023-11-01 09:25:00 $5.41 -0.92% -3.14% -2.87% -0.92% - +2.22% -0.92% +2.22% LOSS
2023-05-11 09:29:00 $6.44 +13.20% +11.40% +28.86% +25.93% +29.81% +36.65% -3.41% +0.16% WIN
2023-03-03 09:25:00 $9.49 -13.22% -5.53% -5.27% -7.17% -5.48% +1.14% -1.05% -1.90% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:27:00 $13.46 +0.93% +0.37% - +0.07% +4.09% +4.09% -1.04% +0.15% WIN
2023-02-21 09:28:00 $15.6 -2.50% -3.78% -5.64% -6.86% -13.72% -1.92% -2.37% -2.88% LOSS
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $26.88 -2.98% -4.58% -4.99% -5.51% -6.44% -1.97% -3.72% -3.50% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CDNA Shows Negative Expectancy

With 25.0% win rate and -0.88% average gain, CDNA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CDNA for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CDNA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CDNA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CDNA historically offers an average upside of +5.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CDNA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 25.0%, CDNA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CDNA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CDNA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.88%). This suggests CDNA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.