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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$EGY

Trade-Ideas alert history 9 alerts 2022-03-072023-11-08

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 9 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 1992 🔗 www.vaalco.com
💰 Market Cap: $649.6M 👥 Employees: 281
VAALCO Energy Inc is an independent energy company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). It has a diversified, African-focused portfolio of production, development, and exploration assets located in Gabon, Egypt, Cote d'Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea, and Nigeria, which are also considered its reportable operating segments. Maximum revenue is generated from the Gabon segment, which holds working interest in and operates the Etame Marin block, located offshore Gabon. The company derives all of its revenue from crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids sales.
Total alerts
9
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
33.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.48%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.05%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading EGY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +2.54%
Avg Loser: -1.99%
Best: +3.66%
Worst: -4.69%
Trades: 3/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.59%
Avg Winner: +5.84%
Avg Loser: -4.06%
Best: +7.85%
Worst: -6.18%
Trades: 2/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.69%
Avg Winner: +6.40%
Avg Loser: -4.39%
Best: +7.59%
Worst: -9.45%
Trades: 2/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -2.33%
Avg Winner: +6.17%
Avg Loser: -5.17%
Best: +6.57%
Worst: -11.36%
Trades: 2/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -2.96%
Avg Winner: +3.59%
Avg Loser: -5.64%
Best: +5.35%
Worst: -12.36%
Trades: 2/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.05%
Best MFE: +8.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 45 min

On average, EGY alerts reach +3.05% profit potential within 45 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.91%
Worst MAE: -5.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.35:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.35x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, EGY typically reaches +3.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap +0.29%
Best Gap +3.66%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How EGY compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EGY: -0.43% Sector: -0.16% -0.27%
EOD Gain
EGY: -2.99% Sector: +59.69% -62.69%
Avg MFE
EGY: +3.19% Sector: +2.88% +0.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EGY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-08 09:26:00 $3.82 +3.66% +7.85% +7.59% +5.76% +1.83% +8.51% +0.26% +3.66% WIN
2023-08-30 09:28:00 $4.04 -0.87% - - - -2.72% +1.98% -1.98% -0.99% LOSS
2023-05-10 09:29:00 $3.84 -4.69% -4.17% -2.47% -5.99% - +4.17% -5.99% -1.56% LOSS
2023-01-13 09:27:00 $4.67 -0.86% -2.57% -3.53% -0.54% -0.64% +0.64% -3.64% -0.64% LOSS
2022-09-23 09:25:00 $4.39 -0.46% -5.81% -6.04% -6.26% -6.15% - - -0.46% LOSS
2022-08-03 09:25:00 $5.5 +2.36% -1.09% -1.83% -5.64% -12.36% +3.27% +1.45% +3.27% WIN
2022-07-14 09:25:00 $5.5 -1.82% -6.18% -9.45% -11.36% -5.45% +1.27% +1.09% -1.45% LOSS
2022-04-11 09:25:00 $7.36 -3.26% -4.55% -2.99% -1.22% -6.52% +0.14% +0.14% +0.14% LOSS
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $6.54 +1.61% +3.82% +5.20% +6.57% +5.35% +7.49% +0.46% +0.61% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ EGY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.48% average gain, EGY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EGY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze EGY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EGY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EGY historically offers an average upside of +3.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EGY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, EGY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EGY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: EGY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.48%). This suggests EGY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.