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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$FBL

Trade-Ideas alert history 19 alerts 2024-03-132025-01-30

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 19 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long META Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 12, 2022
Total alerts
19
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
47.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.45%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.92%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading FBL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 21.1%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +3.83%
Worst: -3.07%
Trades: 4/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -1.79%
Best: +7.49%
Worst: -3.95%
Trades: 8/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.8%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +2.97%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +7.80%
Worst: -4.53%
Trades: 7/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.6%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +5.68%
Avg Loser: -2.32%
Best: +12.96%
Worst: -4.93%
Trades: 6/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.45%
Avg Winner: +5.57%
Avg Loser: -4.15%
Best: +11.78%
Worst: -8.14%
Trades: 9/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.92%
Best MFE: +15.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, FBL alerts reach +3.92% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.88%
Worst MAE: -4.08%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.88%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.08:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.08x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, FBL typically reaches +3.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 19
Gap Up % 42.1%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +1.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FBL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-30 09:29:12 $46.05 -1.92% +2.48% +2.32% +1.74% -2.89% +3.67% -2.71% -0.23% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:18 $37.42 +1.66% +1.11% +3.23% +7.54% +10.53% +11.65% -0.81% -0.59% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:19 $38.48 - +2.62% +2.75% +1.77% +3.40% +4.94% -0.69% +0.05% -
2025-01-06 09:28:40 $36.09 +0.06% -0.33% -1.44% -0.14% +5.51% +5.64% -2.47% -0.33% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:38 $31.14 -1.25% +0.29% -0.13% +2.63% +3.18% +3.58% -2.83% -0.19% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:25:34 $33.4 -0.69% +1.02% -1.62% -1.50% -5.21% +2.72% -2.22% +1.11% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:25:44 $36.03 -1.72% -3.55% -2.94% -2.78% -3.80% -0.08% -0.64% -1.08% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:29:04 $20.63 +3.83% +7.49% +7.80% +7.47% +11.78% +15.37% -0.63% -0.29% WIN
2024-08-01 09:29:46 $27.52 -0.44% -0.65% +1.35% -2.80% -8.14% +2.25% -3.56% +0.11% LOSS
2024-07-08 09:27:54 $30.91 -3.07% -3.95% -4.53% -4.82% -5.37% +0.13% -0.42% -0.52% LOSS
2024-07-01 09:27:39 $26.8 -0.56% -0.97% -3.84% -3.28% -0.26% +0.49% -0.34% -0.15% LOSS
2024-05-02 09:29:10 $20.68 -1.11% -0.34% -0.64% -0.97% +1.64% +2.51% -2.79% +0.34% LOSS
2024-04-29 09:25:58 $20.84 -1.68% -3.00% -2.48% -2.13% -3.26% +0.10% -1.20% -0.24% LOSS
2024-04-26 09:28:46 $21.01 +0.48% -1.12% +2.12% -3.67% +0.86% +2.38% -1.71% +0.24% WIN
2024-04-25 09:26:10 $18.83 -0.53% +0.42% +1.22% +12.96% +11.31% +14.18% -3.45% +0.27% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:29:44 $28.42 -1.35% -2.21% -2.67% -4.93% -5.81% +0.25% -1.87% +0.11% LOSS
2024-04-15 09:28:26 $29.48 -0.37% -0.08% -0.42% -1.29% -6.45% +0.50% -1.03% -0.37% LOSS
2024-03-19 09:27:10 $26.92 -1.19% -3.45% -2.38% -1.45% +1.89% +2.41% -4.08% -1.19% LOSS
2024-03-13 09:25:46 $27.63 -0.04% +0.04% -1.86% -0.47% -0.29% +1.74% -2.27% +0.25% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 47.4% Baseline on FBL

The 47.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push FBL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FBL Strategy →

Why Analyze FBL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FBL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FBL historically offers an average upside of +3.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FBL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.4%, FBL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FBL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.45%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.