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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$FDX

Trade-Ideas alert history 50 alerts 2022-01-072024-12-20

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 50 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 12, 1978 🔗 www.fedex.com
💰 Market Cap: $89.82B 👥 Employees: 880,000
FedEx pioneered overnight delivery in 1973 and remains the world's largest express package provider. In fiscal 2025, the firm's Federal Express segment—which houses the core package delivery operations—made up 86% of total revenue, with 10% coming from FedEx Freight, its asset-based less-than-truckload shipping segment. The remainder came from other services, including FedEx Office, which provides document production/shipping, and FedEx Logistics, which provides global forwarding. FedEx acquired Dutch parcel delivery firm TNT Express in 2016, boosting its presence across Europe. TNT was previously the fourth-largest global parcel delivery provider.
Total alerts
50
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
54.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.04%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.32%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading FDX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +1.82%
Worst: -2.58%
Trades: 22/27

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +2.85%
Worst: -4.55%
Trades: 26/24

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +3.48%
Worst: -5.42%
Trades: 27/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +4.54%
Worst: -7.38%
Trades: 24/26

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: +4.48%
Worst: -7.34%
Trades: 20/30

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.32%
Best MFE: +5.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, FDX alerts reach +1.32% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.60%
Worst MAE: -3.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 50 alerts, FDX typically reaches +1.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 50
Gap Up % 26.0%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +0.60%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR COURIER SERVICES

How FDX compares to 1 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FDX: -0.08% Sector: -0.08% +0.00%
EOD Gain
FDX: -0.39% Sector: -0.39% +0.00%
Avg MFE
FDX: +1.32% Sector: +1.32% +0.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FDX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-20 09:25:13 $297.56 -2.58% -4.55% -5.42% -7.38% -7.34% +0.48% -0.52% -1.20% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:28:41 $260.4 -0.10% -1.24% -1.66% -1.78% -2.21% +0.83% -0.53% +0.14% LOSS
2024-06-26 09:25:26 $289.3 +1.19% +0.10% -0.59% +1.09% +2.38% +2.61% -1.83% -0.30% WIN
2024-04-01 09:27:47 $284.35 +0.82% +0.25% +0.24% -0.06% -1.48% +0.96% -0.30% -0.04% WIN
2024-03-22 09:25:41 $290.3 -1.34% -0.95% -1.80% -0.89% -2.06% +0.33% -1.48% -1.48% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:26:44 $248.25 +0.04% -0.28% -0.34% -0.07% -0.66% +0.37% -0.55% -0.08% WIN
2024-02-14 09:28:36 $237.68 -0.55% -0.50% -0.37% -0.43% -0.36% +0.01% -0.12% -0.11% LOSS
2023-12-21 09:29:00 $248.2 -0.31% -0.48% -1.03% -0.55% -0.34% +0.22% -0.17% -0.04% LOSS
2023-12-20 09:28:00 $246.65 +1.73% +1.82% +1.54% +1.82% -0.16% +2.44% -0.24% -0.06% WIN
2023-12-04 09:26:00 $263.5 +0.21% +0.87% +1.53% +1.23% +0.80% +1.63% -0.61% -0.33% WIN
2023-09-21 09:26:00 $262.99 +0.63% +1.24% +0.10% +0.08% -0.43% +2.05% -1.12% -0.38% WIN
2023-09-18 09:29:00 $254.08 -0.01% -0.45% -0.65% -0.55% -1.88% +0.24% -0.11% -0.11% LOSS
2023-09-13 09:26:00 $251.98 -0.43% -0.38% -0.53% -0.31% +0.07% +1.08% -0.82% -0.42% LOSS
2023-09-01 09:29:00 $262.65 -0.10% -0.02% +0.17% -0.25% -0.64% +0.37% -0.49% +0.04% LOSS
2023-08-22 09:25:00 $258.4 +0.39% +1.01% +0.80% +0.89% +0.22% +1.14% +0.27% +0.60% WIN
2023-08-17 09:28:00 $265.18 +0.22% +0.63% +0.41% +0.31% -0.10% +0.64% -0.14% -0.01% WIN
2023-08-03 09:28:00 $265.0 -0.66% -0.34% -0.25% -0.18% -0.56% +0.45% -0.76% -0.15% LOSS
2023-08-01 09:26:00 $270.9 -0.71% -0.36% -0.18% -1.00% -1.01% -0.12% -0.78% -0.60% LOSS
2023-07-27 09:26:00 $268.54 +0.22% -0.69% -0.15% +0.36% -1.18% +0.64% -0.85% +0.08% WIN
2023-06-21 09:26:00 $224.13 +1.82% +2.62% +3.08% +2.51% +0.76% +3.67% -0.50% -0.15% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ FDX Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 54.0% win rate, FDX has -0.04% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making FDX profitable.

🔧 Fix FDX Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze FDX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FDX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FDX historically offers an average upside of +1.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FDX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.0%, FDX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.31%) outweigh average wins (+1.03%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: FDX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.04%). This suggests FDX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.