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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$FRPT

Trade-Ideas alert history 3 alerts 2022-05-042023-12-22

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 07, 2014 🔗 www.freshpet.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.52B 👥 Employees: 1,288
Freshpet produces and sells premium fresh pet food through its company-owned refrigerators placed in grocery, mass and club, pet specialty, and natural stores. Freshpet primarily targets dogs (likely representing well north of 90% of sales), with cats and treats nascent contributors. Geographically, the company's home US market, where all its food is produced, accounts for nearly all of sales, with exports to Canada, the United Kingdom, and other European countries being very small contributors.
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
66.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.16%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.00%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading FRPT on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +0.79%
Worst: -1.02%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.60%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: -0.64%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +0.96%
Worst: -0.97%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +0.58%
Worst: -1.74%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +0.29%
Worst: -1.08%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.00%
Best MFE: +1.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 16 min

On average, FRPT alerts reach +1.00% profit potential within 16 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.19%
Worst MAE: -0.22%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.4x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, FRPT typically reaches +1.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.33%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GRAIN MILL PRODUCTS

How FRPT compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FRPT: +0.16% Sector: +0.08% +0.08%
EOD Gain
FRPT: -0.58% Sector: -0.34% -0.25%
Avg MFE
FRPT: +1.00% Sector: +1.55% -0.54%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FRPT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-22 09:27:00 $85.03 +0.79% +1.77% +0.53% +0.58% +0.29% +1.81% -0.15% +0.33% WIN
2023-11-29 09:28:00 $70.66 +0.72% +0.68% +0.96% -0.01% -0.96% +1.20% -0.18% -0.18% WIN
2022-05-04 09:25:00 $81.5 -1.02% -0.64% -0.97% -1.74% -1.08% - -0.22% -0.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 66.7% Baseline on FRPT

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push FRPT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FRPT Strategy →

Why Analyze FRPT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FRPT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FRPT historically offers an average upside of +1.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FRPT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, FRPT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FRPT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.