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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$GERN

Trade-Ideas alert history 45 alerts 2022-02-042024-12-31

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 45 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 1996 🔗 www.geron.com
💰 Market Cap: $898.1M 👥 Employees: 258
Geron Corp is a biopharmaceutical company focused on blood cancers. Its telomerase inhibitor, RYTELO (imetelstat), is approved in the United States and European Union for certain adult patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (LR-MDS) with transfusion-dependent anemia. RYTELO inhibits telomerase activity in malignant stem and progenitor cells, which may reduce abnormal cell proliferation while supporting the production of healthy cells. It is also conducting a Phase 3 trial of imetelstat in patients with JAK-inhibitor-refractory or relapsed myelofibrosis (R/R MF) and studies in other hematologic malignancies. The company operates as a single segment, being the development of therapeutic products for oncology.
Total alerts
45
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
42.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.23%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.92%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading GERN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 28.9%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +1.72%
Avg Loser: -1.89%
Best: +5.00%
Worst: -8.06%
Trades: 13/29

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.2%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +3.29%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +14.17%
Worst: -10.43%
Trades: 19/25

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +3.71%
Avg Loser: -3.49%
Best: +18.33%
Worst: -9.48%
Trades: 18/26

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +4.01%
Avg Loser: -3.81%
Best: +12.50%
Worst: -11.85%
Trades: 18/27

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.8%
Avg Gain: -0.77%
Avg Winner: +6.62%
Avg Loser: -5.46%
Best: +33.33%
Worst: -17.61%
Trades: 17/27

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.92%
Best MFE: +35.83%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, GERN alerts reach +4.92% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.06%
Worst MAE: -5.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 45 alerts, GERN typically reaches +4.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 45
Gap Up % 22.2%
Avg Gap -0.40%
Best Gap +3.33%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How GERN compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GERN: -0.72% Sector: -0.32% -0.40%
EOD Gain
GERN: -0.77% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480412.00%
Avg MFE
GERN: +4.92% Sector: +7.56% -2.63%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GERN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-31 09:25:32 $3.43 +1.17% +0.87% +1.75% +1.75% +3.21% +4.08% -0.87% -0.58% WIN
2024-11-07 09:28:52 $4.47 -0.67% -3.92% -5.03% -3.92% -4.03% +0.67% -2.91% +0.67% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:25:46 $4.27 +0.70% +0.94% +3.28% -0.12% +0.47% +5.62% -1.17% -0.47% WIN
2024-06-18 09:28:11 $4.64 -2.69% -2.12% -4.09% -5.39% -3.23% +0.65% -0.43% +0.43% LOSS
2024-06-11 09:25:53 $4.96 +0.60% +1.41% +1.52% +4.95% +2.62% +7.46% +0.20% +0.81% WIN
2024-06-10 09:26:41 $4.59 +1.42% +1.74% +0.98% +5.77% +9.80% +10.57% -1.74% -0.22% WIN
2024-06-07 09:26:59 $4.52 +2.41% +9.73% +7.52% +3.32% +1.55% +13.94% -3.54% -1.33% WIN
2024-04-30 09:26:33 $4.09 -1.71% -0.73% -2.69% -2.81% -3.91% +0.73% -4.16% -1.71% LOSS
2024-04-29 09:26:11 $3.85 +1.56% +3.90% +2.99% +3.90% +7.53% +11.69% -2.08% +0.78% WIN
2024-04-10 09:28:24 $3.36 - - -0.15% +0.15% +2.38% +4.76% -2.68% -0.60% -
2024-04-08 09:25:22 $3.35 -1.49% -1.04% -1.04% -1.94% -0.60% +0.60% -1.79% -0.90% LOSS
2024-03-28 09:27:11 $3.32 -0.60% -0.46% -0.15% -1.36% -0.60% +0.60% -1.51% - LOSS
2024-03-20 09:29:01 $3.27 -0.92% -2.29% +1.18% +1.83% +5.20% +6.73% -3.06% -1.53% LOSS
2024-03-19 09:27:58 $3.22 -0.78% -3.14% -1.32% +3.73% +1.24% +5.75% -4.97% +0.62% LOSS
2024-03-18 09:26:24 $3.39 -5.31% -6.79% -6.49% -3.39% -6.34% +1.42% -0.89% -1.18% LOSS
2024-03-15 09:28:30 $3.02 +2.98% +1.32% +3.97% +12.25% +11.26% +15.56% -0.66% -0.66% WIN
2023-12-12 09:26:00 $1.95 -1.32% -2.05% -2.56% -1.04% +1.03% +1.54% -4.10% - LOSS
2023-12-11 09:25:00 $2.1 -2.05% -3.81% -5.48% -8.33% -8.10% -1.43% -2.05% -1.43% LOSS
2023-12-04 09:29:00 $2.11 -8.06% -10.43% -9.48% -11.85% -11.85% - -4.27% -0.47% LOSS
2023-11-01 09:25:00 $1.93 +1.04% -2.07% -2.59% -1.55% - +1.30% -2.59% -1.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ GERN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.2% win rate and -0.23% average gain, GERN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GERN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GERN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GERN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GERN historically offers an average upside of +4.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GERN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.2%, GERN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GERN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GERN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.23%). This suggests GERN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.