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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$HLLY

Trade-Ideas alert history 4 alerts 2022-04-212023-08-16

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 4 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 16, 2021 🔗 www.holley.com
💰 Market Cap: $328.6M 👥 Employees: 1,483
Holley Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes high-performance automotive aftermarket products to car and truck enthusiasts in the United States, Canada and Europe. It manufactures a diversified line of performance automotive products, including carburetors, fuel pumps, fuel injection systems, nitrous oxide injection systems, superchargers, exhaust headers, mufflers, distributors, ignition components, engine tuners and automotive performance plumbing products. It also manufactures exhaust products as well as shifters, converters, transmission kits, transmissions, tuners and automotive software. The company markets its products under brands such as Holley, Holley EFI, MSD, Simpson, Flowmaster, EDGE, Cataclean, and Accel, among others. It operates in single segment.
Total alerts
4
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-4.31%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.36%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading HLLY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -4.31%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -9.74%
Best: +1.62%
Worst: -14.67%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -3.57%
Avg Winner: +1.66%
Avg Loser: -8.80%
Best: +2.86%
Worst: -17.43%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -2.82%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -3.95%
Best: +0.59%
Worst: -10.14%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -2.00%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -3.11%
Best: +1.34%
Worst: -7.07%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -6.02%
Avg Winner: +1.72%
Avg Loser: -8.60%
Best: +1.72%
Worst: -14.49%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.36%
Best MFE: +10.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 41 min

On average, HLLY alerts reach +3.36% profit potential within 41 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.48%
Worst MAE: -22.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.45:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, HLLY typically reaches +3.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.47%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES

How HLLY compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HLLY: -4.31% Sector: -0.68% -3.63%
EOD Gain
HLLY: -6.02% Sector: +576.01% -582.03%
Avg MFE
HLLY: +3.36% Sector: +7.31% -3.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HLLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-16 09:29:00 $6.44 -4.81% +0.47% -1.55% -1.94% -4.04% +1.55% -4.97% -0.93% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:25:00 $5.24 +1.62% +2.86% +0.59% +1.34% +1.72% +10.88% -2.86% -0.95% WIN
2023-02-07 09:27:00 $2.76 -14.67% -17.43% -10.14% -7.07% -14.49% +0.36% -22.10% -3.99% LOSS
2022-04-21 09:25:00 $12.52 +0.64% -0.16% -0.16% -0.32% -7.27% +0.64% - - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ HLLY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -4.31% average gain, HLLY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HLLY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HLLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HLLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HLLY historically offers an average upside of +3.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HLLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, HLLY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HLLY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HLLY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.31%). This suggests HLLY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.