$HMC
Trade-Ideas alert history 33 alerts 2022-02-15 → 2025-02-03
⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 33 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading HMC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, HMC alerts reach +0.53% profit potential within 143 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.63%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 33 alerts, HMC typically reaches +0.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical HMC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | 09:28:18 | $26.45 | +0.57% | +0.37% | +0.45% | +2.46% | +1.70% | +3.38% | -0.49% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2024-12-26 | 09:25:43 | $27.91 | +1.40% | +1.36% | +0.97% | +1.27% | +1.65% | +1.95% | -0.47% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2024-12-23 | 09:25:16 | $27.24 | +0.22% | -0.07% | -0.84% | -2.28% | -1.14% | +0.92% | +0.04% | +0.33% | WIN |
| 2024-12-04 | 09:25:14 | $25.89 | -0.46% | -0.12% | -0.20% | -0.33% | -0.42% | +0.19% | -0.46% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-08 | 09:28:49 | $27.21 | -1.32% | -1.31% | -1.51% | -1.14% | -1.51% | +0.07% | -1.36% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:28:09 | $28.24 | +0.76% | -0.57% | -2.37% | -1.70% | -1.31% | +3.19% | -0.21% | +1.20% | WIN |
| 2024-10-21 | 09:26:03 | $30.74 | -0.42% | -0.35% | -0.17% | -0.40% | -0.78% | +0.10% | +0.07% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-10 | 09:27:39 | $31.81 | -2.91% | -2.80% | -2.89% | -3.52% | -3.05% | -1.54% | -2.83% | -1.89% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-23 | 09:26:46 | $32.3 | -0.50% | -0.50% | -0.40% | -0.12% | -0.34% | -0.02% | -0.68% | -0.25% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-02 | 09:25:56 | $32.42 | -0.34% | -0.09% | -0.12% | -0.12% | -0.06% | +0.03% | -0.43% | -0.25% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-01 | 09:29:43 | $32.93 | -0.06% | +0.15% | +0.08% | -0.50% | -0.21% | +0.53% | -0.64% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-03 | 09:29:07 | $36.5 | -0.36% | -0.19% | -0.22% | +0.08% | -0.22% | +0.25% | -0.71% | -0.71% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-02 | 09:28:29 | $36.3 | +0.11% | +0.19% | +0.22% | -0.04% | +0.11% | +0.40% | -0.22% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2024-03-15 | 09:27:16 | $35.97 | +0.03% | +0.31% | +0.14% | - | +0.25% | +0.58% | -0.31% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2023-12-21 | 09:29:00 | $30.75 | -1.14% | -1.30% | -1.24% | -1.17% | -0.62% | -0.55% | -1.46% | -0.91% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-01 | 09:28:00 | $30.93 | -0.23% | -0.23% | -0.23% | -0.29% | +0.78% | +0.74% | -0.37% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-24 | 09:26:00 | $31.68 | -0.25% | -0.25% | -0.13% | -0.13% | -0.16% | +0.06% | -0.73% | -0.73% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-13 | 09:28:00 | $31.08 | -0.48% | -0.58% | -0.50% | -0.39% | - | +0.26% | -0.84% | -0.29% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-06 | 09:27:00 | $32.21 | +0.76% | +0.90% | +0.40% | +0.47% | +1.74% | +2.20% | +0.16% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2023-09-19 | 09:29:00 | $36.47 | +0.49% | +0.78% | +0.66% | +0.51% | +0.55% | +0.96% | -0.03% | +0.25% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ HMC Shows Negative Expectancy
With 42.4% win rate and -0.18% average gain, HMC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HMC for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze HMC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HMC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, HMC historically offers an average upside of +0.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 HMC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 42.4%, HMC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HMC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: HMC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.18%). This suggests HMC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.