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Ticker Report β€” Active Last signal Β·

$IEF

Trade-Ideas alert history 158 alerts 2022-01-03 β†’ 2025-02-12

🏒 Company Profile

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Jul 22, 2002
Total alerts
158
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· EOD
51.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· EOD
-0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.27%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading IEF on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable IEF setups

Historical IEF setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: -0.05%
Best: +0.19%
Worst: -0.70%
Trades: 75/73

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: -0.09%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: -0.93%
Trades: 73/77

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.11%
Avg Loser: -0.11%
Best: +0.39%
Worst: -0.98%
Trades: 66/86

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: -0.15%
Best: +0.64%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 73/83

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +1.67%
Worst: -1.46%
Trades: 82/75

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.27%
Best MFE: +1.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 150 min

On average, IEF alerts reach +0.27% profit potential within 150 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.10%
Worst MAE: -1.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.10%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 158 alerts, IEF typically reaches +0.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 158
Gap Up % 43.7%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.10%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical IEF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:26:20 $92.19 +0.06% +0.01% -0.04% -0.07% +0.05% +0.14% -0.12% +0.08% WIN
2025-02-07 09:29:31 $93.13 +0.07% +0.01% -0.04% -0.12% +0.01% +0.10% - +0.02% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:56 $93.1 -0.09% -0.10% -0.15% -0.12% -0.03% +0.05% -0.25% -0.02% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:29:54 $92.76 -0.10% -0.08% -0.10% -0.04% - +0.07% -0.16% -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:23 $92.06 +0.05% +0.04% +0.05% +0.11% +0.11% +0.18% -0.01% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:41 $91.46 -0.04% +0.10% -0.01% +0.11% -0.14% +0.19% -0.12% -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:26:41 $91.73 -0.03% +0.03% +0.09% +0.16% +0.29% +0.32% -0.05% -0.02% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:29:12 $94.64 -0.02% -0.04% -0.07% -0.06% +0.26% +0.39% -0.15% -0.03% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:27:27 $94.44 -0.01% -0.07% -0.04% -0.02% +0.18% +0.21% -0.13% +0.02% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:27:14 $93.28 -0.02% +0.01% -0.04% -0.05% +0.27% +0.33% -0.11% - LOSS
2024-11-08 09:26:45 $94.13 +0.12% +0.12% +0.15% +0.34% +0.07% +0.37% +0.04% +0.07% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:44 $93.05 +0.04% -0.03% +0.10% +0.14% +0.21% +0.49% -0.04% -0.01% WIN
2024-11-01 09:28:45 $94.37 +0.02% +0.10% -0.06% -0.18% -0.74% +0.10% -0.03% -0.01% WIN
2024-10-21 09:29:38 $95.56 +0.03% +0.03% -0.07% -0.11% -0.38% +0.04% -0.01% +0.01% WIN
2024-10-11 09:26:39 $95.71 - +0.05% +0.02% +0.01% +0.16% +0.26% -0.03% +0.02% -
2024-10-04 09:28:39 $96.55 +0.10% +0.17% +0.21% +0.11% -0.08% +0.24% - +0.02% WIN
2024-10-02 09:26:38 $97.74 -0.02% -0.03% -0.06% +0.01% +0.17% +0.21% -0.11% +0.01% LOSS
2024-09-27 09:26:20 $98.24 -0.05% +0.04% +0.07% -0.01% +0.15% +0.20% -0.09% -0.01% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:28:30 $98.14 +0.03% -0.09% -0.07% -0.25% -0.14% +0.06% -0.03% +0.01% WIN
2024-09-24 09:25:16 $98.07 +0.01% -0.03% -0.01% +0.25% +0.41% +0.44% -0.06% +0.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ IEF Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.9% win rate, IEF has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making IEF profitable.

πŸ”§ Fix IEF Risk / Reward β†’

Why Analyze IEF with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IEF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IEF historically offers an average upside of +0.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š IEF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.9%, IEF shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.34%) outweigh average wins (+0.30%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: IEF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.01%). This suggests IEF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.