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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$JCI

Trade-Ideas alert history 22 alerts 2022-02-022025-02-05

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 22 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 11, 1965 🔗 www.johnsoncontrols.com
💰 Market Cap: $86.05B 👥 Employees: 87,000
Following Johnson Controls' divestiture of its residential and light commercial HVAC businesses to Bosch in 2025, nearly all of its revenue comes from commercial HVAC (60%) and fire and security products and services (40%). A 2016 merger joined Johnson Controls' HVAC and Tyco's fire and security businesses with the premise that there is synergy in offering a broader variety of automation products and solutions to commercial buildings. We estimate Johnson Controls' pro forma revenue mix will be one-third products, one-third installation, and one-third services.
Total alerts
22
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
40.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.13%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.23%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading JCI on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +3.39%
Worst: -2.40%
Trades: 9/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -2.96%
Trades: 8/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.54%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +1.84%
Worst: -3.69%
Trades: 9/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -0.94%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -1.52%
Best: +1.33%
Worst: -4.10%
Trades: 6/16

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 18.2%
Avg Gain: -1.03%
Avg Winner: +1.79%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +3.88%
Worst: -4.61%
Trades: 4/18

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.23%
Best MFE: +6.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 71 min

On average, JCI alerts reach +1.23% profit potential within 71 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.66%
Worst MAE: -4.80%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.85:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, JCI typically reaches +1.23% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 36.4%
Avg Gap +0.08%
Best Gap +6.86%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP

How JCI compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
JCI: -0.13% Sector: -0.16% +0.03%
EOD Gain
JCI: -1.03% Sector: -0.34% -0.69%
Avg MFE
JCI: +1.23% Sector: +1.43% -0.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JCI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:28:32 $87.2 -0.61% -0.41% -0.32% -0.92% -1.36% +1.95% -0.46% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:27 $78.3 -0.59% +0.04% -0.15% +0.15% -0.38% +0.95% -0.72% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:10 $77.06 +0.52% -0.52% -0.70% -0.80% -1.22% +1.00% +0.21% +0.70% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:12 $78.95 -2.40% -2.96% -1.60% -1.94% -2.39% -0.20% -1.13% -0.25% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:28:26 $80.47 -0.30% +0.19% +0.20% -0.46% -0.81% +0.41% -0.86% -0.86% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:28:08 $77.71 -0.35% -0.69% -0.80% -0.93% -1.43% +0.05% -0.28% -0.24% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:29:33 $77.0 +0.04% - +0.08% -0.01% +0.79% +0.91% -0.34% -0.05% WIN
2024-09-09 09:26:55 $67.84 +1.82% +0.83% +0.29% +0.97% +1.12% +1.90% +0.81% +0.81% WIN
2024-08-02 09:26:41 $70.65 -2.28% -2.93% -3.43% -4.10% -4.57% -2.22% -3.07% -2.34% LOSS
2024-07-31 09:29:46 $75.0 -0.46% -1.37% -2.49% -2.77% -4.61% +0.48% -1.00% - LOSS
2024-06-14 09:27:41 $70.62 -1.29% -1.63% -1.57% -2.38% -1.69% -0.64% -1.25% -0.95% LOSS
2024-05-20 09:25:47 $71.64 -0.20% -0.96% -0.75% -1.26% -1.42% +1.88% -0.31% +0.22% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:27:01 $63.77 -0.16% +0.66% +0.57% +0.77% -0.17% +1.14% -0.33% +0.31% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:28:24 $64.42 +1.10% +1.41% +1.20% +1.33% +1.35% +1.65% +0.12% +0.23% WIN
2023-12-12 09:29:00 $55.27 -0.94% -2.35% -3.69% -4.00% -3.76% +0.05% -1.39% -1.38% LOSS
2023-08-02 09:28:00 $64.57 +3.39% -0.60% -1.49% -0.86% -1.58% +6.86% +2.21% +6.86% WIN
2022-07-18 09:25:00 $46.91 +0.81% +1.13% +1.27% +0.13% -0.47% +1.41% +0.49% +0.53% WIN
2022-05-04 09:25:00 $54.41 -1.06% -0.04% +1.84% -0.39% +3.88% +4.19% -4.80% -0.64% LOSS
2022-03-04 09:25:00 $63.8 +0.11% -0.08% -0.75% -1.43% -1.38% +0.22% -0.34% -0.27% WIN
2022-02-17 09:25:00 $67.0 +0.04% - -0.87% -1.00% -1.76% +0.49% -1.07% -0.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ JCI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.9% win rate and -0.13% average gain, JCI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider JCI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze JCI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JCI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JCI historically offers an average upside of +1.23% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JCI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.9%, JCI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests JCI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: JCI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.13%). This suggests JCI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.