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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$KGS

Trade-Ideas alert history 11 alerts 2023-07-032025-02-11

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 11 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION (SIC 4922)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 29, 2023 🔗 www.kodiakgas.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.67B 👥 Employees: 1,300
Kodiak Gas Services Inc is an operator of contract compression infrastructure in the United States. The company manages its business through two operating segments: Contract Services and Other Services. Contract Services consists of operating company-owned and customer-owned compression, gas treating, and cooling infrastructure, pursuant to fixed-revenue contracts to enable the production and gathering of natural gas and oil. Other Services consist of a full range of contract services to support the ancillary needs of customers, including station construction, maintenance and overhaul, freight and crane charges, and other time and material-based offerings. Maximum revenue for the company is generated from its Contract Services segment.
Total alerts
11
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
45.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.18%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.31%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading KGS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.24%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +2.19%
Worst: -2.30%
Trades: 3/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +2.80%
Worst: -4.19%
Trades: 3/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +0.67%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +0.92%
Worst: -3.06%
Trades: 4/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +2.91%
Worst: -3.15%
Trades: 3/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +2.26%
Avg Loser: -2.21%
Best: +6.35%
Worst: -3.70%
Trades: 5/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.31%
Best MFE: +6.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 87 min

On average, KGS alerts reach +1.31% profit potential within 87 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.57%
Worst MAE: -2.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.57%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.31:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.31x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, KGS typically reaches +1.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 54.5%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.60%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION

How KGS compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KGS: -0.62% Sector: -0.07% -0.55%
EOD Gain
KGS: -0.51% Sector: -0.01% -0.50%
Avg MFE
KGS: +0.92% Sector: +1.22% -0.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KGS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:27:36 $47.04 -2.30% -4.19% -3.06% -3.15% -3.70% -1.74% -1.93% -1.74% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:25:27 $47.7 +0.92% - +0.17% -0.61% -2.77% +0.92% +0.92% +0.92% WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:26 $46.95 +0.62% +0.64% +0.92% +1.79% +1.60% +3.23% +0.38% +0.40% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:19 $47.61 -0.76% -0.16% -0.16% -0.01% -1.74% +0.42% -2.23% +0.29% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:28:58 $40.96 -0.05% -0.62% +0.75% +1.07% +1.98% +2.22% -0.78% +0.10% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:27:10 $40.26 -0.27% +0.30% -0.58% -0.45% +0.57% +0.97% -0.35% +0.07% LOSS
2024-10-04 09:29:04 $30.56 +2.19% +2.80% - +2.91% +6.35% +6.68% +1.60% +1.60% WIN
2024-10-01 09:29:26 $28.97 -0.64% -0.16% +0.83% -0.09% +0.83% +1.28% -0.86% -0.24% LOSS
2024-09-10 09:29:05 $26.71 -0.64% -1.25% -1.40% -2.58% -1.50% +1.09% -0.71% - LOSS
2023-07-07 09:25:00 $16.24 - -1.05% -0.74% -1.60% -1.48% -0.62% -0.86% -0.86% -
2023-07-03 09:26:00 $16.24 -0.92% -0.80% -0.62% -0.37% -2.09% -0.06% -1.42% -0.62% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ KGS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.5% win rate and -0.18% average gain, KGS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider KGS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze KGS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KGS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KGS historically offers an average upside of +1.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KGS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, KGS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests KGS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: KGS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.18%). This suggests KGS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.