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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MTB

Trade-Ideas alert history 8 alerts 2022-02-082023-04-17

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 8 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1973 🔗 www3.mtb.com
💰 Market Cap: $30.57B 👥 Employees: 21,866
M&T Bank is a US regional bank with around $215 billion in assets as of the end of the first quarter of 2026. Headquartered in Buffalo, New York, the bank's footprint is mostly concentrated in New England and the US Mid-Atlantic. M&T Bank boasts a community banking approach, and boasts over 900 branches in 13 states and Washington, D.C. Apart from retail and commercial banking, M&T Bank also has wealth management operations through Wilmington Trust and a partnership with LPL Financial, and a corporate trust business.
Total alerts
8
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.28%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.17%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MTB on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.54%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +1.40%
Worst: -2.99%
Trades: 2/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +1.02%
Worst: -2.21%
Trades: 2/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +1.36%
Worst: -2.69%
Trades: 4/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +1.63%
Worst: -3.42%
Trades: 4/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: +0.69%
Avg Winner: +3.75%
Avg Loser: -1.15%
Best: +7.86%
Worst: -2.80%
Trades: 3/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.17%
Best MFE: +7.97%
Avg Time to MFE: 161 min

On average, MTB alerts reach +2.17% profit potential within 161 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.73%
Worst MAE: -2.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.73%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.98:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.98x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, MTB typically reaches +2.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap +1.48%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How MTB compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MTB: -0.54% Sector: -0.03% -0.52%
EOD Gain
MTB: +0.69% Sector: -0.04% +0.73%
Avg MFE
MTB: +2.17% Sector: +1.25% +0.91%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MTB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-17 09:27:00 $116.5 -1.10% -0.92% +0.63% +1.12% +7.86% +7.97% -1.82% -0.43% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:25:00 $155.45 -0.51% -0.06% -0.35% -0.17% -0.80% +0.35% -0.83% +0.35% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:28:00 $159.92 -0.27% -0.48% -0.78% -0.96% -2.80% -0.10% -0.78% -0.48% LOSS
2022-12-07 09:25:00 $150.5 -2.99% -2.21% -2.69% -3.42% -1.68% +1.00% -0.01% -1.16% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $171.8 -0.76% -1.48% -1.77% -1.20% +1.28% +1.64% -2.21% -0.62% LOSS
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $182.36 -0.33% -0.48% +0.68% +1.22% -0.03% +2.27% -0.78% -0.63% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $183.9 +0.22% +0.98% +0.72% +1.36% -0.43% +1.66% -0.23% -0.23% WIN
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $180.48 +1.40% +1.02% +1.36% +1.63% +2.11% +2.55% +0.85% +1.48% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ MTB Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.28% average gain, MTB alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MTB for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MTB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MTB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MTB historically offers an average upside of +2.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MTB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, MTB shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MTB may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MTB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.28%). This suggests MTB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.