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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NBIX

Trade-Ideas alert history 14 alerts 2022-06-162024-12-23

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 14 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 23, 1996 🔗 www.neurocrine.com
💰 Market Cap: $15.67B 👥 Employees: 2,000
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc is a biopharmaceutical firm focused on the research, development, and commercialization of treatments for neurological, psychiatric, endocrine, and immunological disorders. Its portfolio includes therapies for conditions such as tardive dyskinesia, chorea associated with Huntington's disease, classic congenital adrenal hyperplasia due to 21-hydroxylase deficiency, and treatments for endometriosis and uterine fibroids. The company also maintains a pipeline of drug candidates in various stages of clinical and preclinical development across its therapeutic areas, including small molecules, peptides, proteins, antibodies, conjugates, and gene therapies. It derives revenue from the sale of its pharmaceutical products.
Total alerts
14
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
78.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
+0.28%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.75%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NBIX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +3.14%
Worst: -1.28%
Trades: 7/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +3.01%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 8/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 78.6%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -2.64%
Best: +3.04%
Worst: -3.81%
Trades: 11/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.24%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +4.14%
Worst: -3.27%
Trades: 10/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.82%
Best: +5.45%
Worst: -4.53%
Trades: 10/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.75%
Best MFE: +7.11%
Avg Time to MFE: 153 min

On average, NBIX alerts reach +1.75% profit potential within 153 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.40%
Worst MAE: -2.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.36:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.36x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, NBIX typically reaches +1.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 57.1%
Avg Gap +0.34%
Best Gap +4.64%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How NBIX compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NBIX: +0.14% Sector: -0.41% +0.56%
EOD Gain
NBIX: +0.34% Sector: +1233.50% -1233.16%
Avg MFE
NBIX: +1.75% Sector: +6.69% -4.94%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NBIX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-23 09:27:48 $136.74 -1.28% -0.99% -1.48% -2.07% +0.18% +0.27% -2.86% -1.00% LOSS
2024-08-28 09:28:47 $126.0 -0.91% -1.45% -3.81% -1.72% -1.78% +1.59% -1.00% -0.08% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:28:20 $145.93 -0.58% +0.20% +0.99% +0.41% +0.55% +1.36% -1.56% -0.74% LOSS
2023-07-31 09:29:00 $102.75 +0.18% +0.42% +0.42% +0.07% -0.84% +0.73% +0.03% +0.05% WIN
2023-07-26 09:28:00 $100.5 +0.50% +0.31% +0.15% -0.04% -0.12% +1.20% -0.27% +0.53% WIN
2023-07-03 09:28:00 $94.32 -0.64% -0.11% +0.07% +0.27% +0.17% +0.76% -0.64% -0.33% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:29:00 $101.14 +1.12% +1.37% +1.26% +1.27% +1.64% +1.81% +0.53% +0.67% WIN
2023-02-13 09:28:00 $102.99 -0.58% -0.25% +0.59% +0.87% +0.51% +1.28% -0.84% +0.17% LOSS
2023-02-08 09:29:00 $99.09 +3.14% +2.42% +3.04% +4.14% +5.45% +7.11% +2.06% +4.64% WIN
2023-01-06 09:25:00 $122.95 +1.25% +0.04% +0.01% +0.80% +0.06% +1.68% -0.17% +1.12% WIN
2022-09-08 09:25:00 $106.2 -0.77% -0.93% +1.69% +1.21% +0.45% +2.16% -1.48% -1.13% LOSS
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $104.88 +0.30% +1.17% +1.04% +0.81% +0.72% +1.98% +0.30% +0.30% WIN
2022-08-03 09:25:00 $91.89 +1.43% +3.01% +2.60% +2.55% +2.36% +3.68% +1.43% +1.74% WIN
2022-06-16 09:25:00 $93.15 -1.15% -1.47% -2.63% -3.27% -4.53% -1.09% -1.15% -1.15% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 78.6% Baseline on NBIX

The 78.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push NBIX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NBIX Strategy →

Why Analyze NBIX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NBIX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NBIX historically offers an average upside of +1.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NBIX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 78.6%, NBIX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NBIX performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.