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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NOV

Trade-Ideas alert history 7 alerts 2022-02-172023-12-08

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 7 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 29, 1996 🔗 www.nov.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.37B 👥 Employees: 31,605
NOV (formerly National Oilwell Varco) designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of equipment and components supplying the oil and gas industry, including rig equipment, downhole tools, drill pipe, and well casing. NOV's customers include major integrated oil companies, national oil companies, independent oil and gas companies, and drilling contractors. Its operations are organized into two reportable segments: energy products and services and energy equipment. NOV operates on a global scale, with international markets contributing nearly two-thirds of its annual revenue.
Total alerts
7
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
71.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
+1.12%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.99%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NOV on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +2.04%
Worst: -1.72%
Trades: 4/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1.12%
Avg Winner: +2.23%
Avg Loser: -1.67%
Best: +5.90%
Worst: -2.13%
Trades: 5/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +1.88%
Avg Winner: +5.34%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +9.24%
Worst: -2.53%
Trades: 3/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +3.75%
Avg Winner: +5.84%
Avg Loser: -1.47%
Best: +18.10%
Worst: -2.64%
Trades: 5/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: +2.02%
Avg Winner: +9.39%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +17.27%
Worst: -1.72%
Trades: 2/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.99%
Best MFE: +25.46%
Avg Time to MFE: 91 min

On average, NOV alerts reach +5.99% profit potential within 91 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.88%
Worst MAE: -3.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.88%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.79:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.79x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, NOV typically reaches +5.99% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 57.1%
Avg Gap +0.17%
Best Gap +2.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OIL & GAS FIELD MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT

How NOV compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NOV: +0.48% Sector: +0.23% +0.25%
EOD Gain
NOV: +2.02% Sector: +0.71% +1.31%
Avg MFE
NOV: +5.99% Sector: +2.87% +3.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NOV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-08 09:28:00 $19.09 -0.21% +0.03% -0.18% +0.63% -0.89% +0.84% -0.73% -0.47% LOSS
2022-09-30 09:25:00 $15.94 +0.88% -1.22% +1.07% +0.88% +1.51% +3.33% -1.25% +1.69% WIN
2022-07-18 09:25:00 $14.61 -0.27% +0.14% -0.03% +0.58% -0.27% +1.62% -0.65% -0.34% LOSS
2022-03-23 09:25:00 $19.87 +1.36% +0.70% -0.10% -0.30% -1.46% +2.26% - +0.30% WIN
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $22.02 +2.04% +5.90% +5.70% +8.99% -0.27% +9.26% -0.09% +0.23% WIN
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $18.07 +1.27% +4.40% +9.24% +18.10% +17.27% +25.46% - +2.05% WIN
2022-02-17 09:25:00 $17.41 -1.72% -2.13% -2.53% -2.64% -1.72% -0.86% -3.45% -2.24% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 71.4% Baseline on NOV

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push NOV's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NOV Strategy →

Why Analyze NOV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NOV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NOV historically offers an average upside of +5.99% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NOV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, NOV shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NOV performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.