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Ticker Report β€” Active Last signal Β·

$NVDL

Trade-Ideas alert history 265 alerts 2023-05-25 β†’ 2025-02-14

🏒 Company Profile

GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Dec 12, 2022
Total alerts
265
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· 15MIN
52.8%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· 15MIN
-0.06%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.64%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NVDL on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable NVDL setups

Historical NVDL setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +4.70%
Worst: -4.69%
Trades: 130/135

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.8%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: +6.94%
Worst: -8.33%
Trades: 140/125

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +16.70%
Worst: -9.47%
Trades: 136/129

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +2.61%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +17.46%
Worst: -12.93%
Trades: 129/136

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -7.71%
Avg Winner: +3.81%
Avg Loser: -18.15%
Best: +19.31%
Worst: -85.93%
Trades: 126/139

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.64%
Best MFE: +26.55%
Avg Time to MFE: 134 min

On average, NVDL alerts reach +3.64% profit potential within 134 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.63%
Worst MAE: -13.98%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.63%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.24:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.24x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 265 alerts, NVDL typically reaches +3.64% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 265
Gap Up % 49.4%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +2.14%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical NVDL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:54 $62.54 +0.28% +0.08% +0.57% +2.41% +3.39% +4.01% -1.18% +0.02% WIN
2025-02-13 09:26:40 $58.56 +0.89% +1.14% +3.03% +4.42% +5.04% +7.05% -0.97% -0.51% WIN
2025-02-12 09:27:34 $57.39 -0.24% +1.62% +2.00% +1.45% +0.89% +2.74% -2.21% -0.68% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:27:06 $59.06 +0.20% +2.27% +2.29% +2.03% +0.69% +3.27% -0.49% +0.24% WIN
2025-02-10 09:28:58 $57.14 +2.68% +5.14% +5.88% +6.62% +5.20% +7.53% -0.17% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:31 $56.25 +0.98% +1.67% +1.01% +0.39% +1.16% +2.04% -0.37% +0.25% WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:31 $54.71 -0.97% -2.40% -1.18% -1.43% +2.23% +2.36% -2.94% +0.46% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:49 $50.11 +1.08% -0.49% +0.56% +0.94% +5.49% +5.49% -1.26% +0.42% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:08 $46.27 +0.44% +2.64% +4.88% +5.88% +3.41% +7.72% - +0.52% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:37 $44.68 -0.56% -0.45% +0.04% +1.95% +3.49% +7.01% -3.04% +0.09% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:25 $52.57 +0.38% +1.18% +0.44% +2.77% -6.73% +5.86% -1.60% -0.59% WIN
2025-01-30 09:25:52 $52.0 -0.17% -2.88% -1.90% -5.06% +1.58% +2.38% -8.62% -0.63% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:36 $54.68 +0.17% -1.23% -1.91% -3.66% -4.37% +0.59% -0.29% +0.04% WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:08 $51.71 -4.69% -8.33% -5.36% -1.49% +10.00% +10.13% -9.98% -1.30% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:06 $55.14 +4.70% +0.67% +3.55% -2.21% -12.21% +6.18% -2.38% -0.40% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:58 $79.47 -0.91% -1.77% -1.13% -3.13% -8.00% +0.44% -0.57% -0.38% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:26:48 $75.28 -0.70% +0.58% +0.57% +0.65% +3.56% +3.61% -1.25% +0.54% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:39 $75.72 +0.37% +2.07% +2.39% +2.17% +2.84% +3.86% -1.56% -0.26% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:24 $69.97 -0.81% -0.53% -0.13% -1.10% +2.30% +3.76% -2.96% +0.03% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:41 $66.73 -0.10% +0.36% +1.56% +0.98% +2.77% +3.85% -0.52% +1.03% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NVDL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.8% win rate, NVDL has -0.06% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making NVDL profitable.

πŸ”§ Fix NVDL Risk / Reward β†’

Why Analyze NVDL with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVDL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVDL historically offers an average upside of +3.64% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š NVDL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.8%, NVDL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.94%) outweigh average wins (+1.61%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NVDL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.06%). This suggests NVDL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.