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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NVS

Trade-Ideas alert history 85 alerts 2022-02-012025-02-13

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 85 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Novartis AG
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 07, 1996 🔗 www.novartis.com
💰 Market Cap: $277.11B 👥 Employees: 75,267
Novartis develops and manufactures innovative drugs. Key areas of drug development are oncology, immunology, neuroscience, respiratory, and cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic. It also has an established medicines business, which includes off-patent franchises. The company sells its products globally, with the United States constituting close to one-third of total revenue.
Total alerts
85
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
51.8%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.58%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NVS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.15%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: +0.77%
Worst: -0.81%
Trades: 38/46

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +1.34%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 34/49

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +1.64%
Worst: -1.24%
Trades: 37/48

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +1.62%
Worst: -1.10%
Trades: 44/41

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +1.78%
Worst: -3.24%
Trades: 44/41

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.58%
Best MFE: +2.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 141 min

On average, NVS alerts reach +0.58% profit potential within 141 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.26%
Worst MAE: -1.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.2:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.2x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 85 alerts, NVS typically reaches +0.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 85
Gap Up % 48.2%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NVS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:26:05 $107.05 -0.09% -0.40% -0.08% +0.37% +0.62% +0.97% -0.53% -0.08% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:32 $106.56 -0.10% +0.06% -0.08% +0.31% +0.41% +0.88% -0.19% - LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:42 $106.63 +0.20% -0.07% +0.13% +0.38% +1.05% +1.27% -0.19% -0.02% WIN
2024-10-29 09:25:03 $111.69 +0.03% +0.41% +0.72% -0.22% -1.04% +0.97% -0.26% +0.11% WIN
2024-07-18 09:26:15 $108.14 -0.81% -0.19% -0.47% -0.29% -0.85% +0.14% -1.13% -0.31% LOSS
2024-07-11 09:26:16 $111.3 +0.23% -0.01% -0.01% -0.04% -0.72% +0.36% -0.05% - WIN
2024-04-24 09:29:04 $98.43 -0.05% -0.39% -0.77% -0.33% -0.08% +0.12% -0.25% +0.07% LOSS
2024-04-23 09:27:06 $98.52 -0.31% -0.66% -0.38% -0.74% -1.26% +0.99% -0.16% +0.22% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:29:34 $94.81 -0.03% -0.54% -0.55% -1.03% -0.50% +0.11% +0.05% +0.06% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:26:17 $94.54 +0.02% -0.23% -0.20% -0.15% -0.17% +0.14% -0.01% +0.03% WIN
2024-04-02 09:26:59 $94.6 -0.18% -0.24% -0.17% -0.43% -0.20% +0.04% -0.12% +0.04% LOSS
2024-03-27 09:26:04 $95.5 +0.04% +0.18% +0.07% +0.06% +0.40% +0.42% -0.24% - WIN
2024-02-06 09:25:01 $103.3 +0.01% -0.17% -0.06% -0.03% +0.43% +0.61% -0.33% +0.01% WIN
2023-11-20 09:27:00 $94.86 +0.01% +0.32% +0.43% +0.50% +0.41% +0.75% -0.16% -0.13% WIN
2023-11-17 09:27:00 $94.86 -0.05% -0.01% -0.04% +0.04% +0.05% +0.27% -0.07% +0.06% LOSS
2023-11-16 09:26:00 $93.97 -0.02% -0.17% -0.12% +0.23% +0.10% +0.32% -0.26% -0.09% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $94.39 +0.12% +0.32% +0.57% +0.19% -0.01% +0.66% - +0.06% WIN
2023-10-24 09:29:00 $94.39 +0.77% +0.50% +0.38% +0.73% +0.55% +1.17% -0.21% +0.15% WIN
2023-10-12 09:26:00 $98.85 +0.32% - -0.23% +0.03% -0.99% +0.45% -0.11% +0.07% WIN
2023-10-11 09:26:00 $99.44 -0.07% -0.48% +0.04% -0.37% -0.03% +0.07% -0.60% +0.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NVS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.8% win rate, NVS has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making NVS profitable.

🔧 Fix NVS Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze NVS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVS historically offers an average upside of +0.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NVS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.8%, NVS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NVS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.00%). This suggests NVS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.