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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$OSG

Trade-Ideas alert history 2 alerts 2023-12-262024-05-20

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 2 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Octave Specialty Group, Inc. SURETY INSURANCE (SIC 6351)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 25, 1989 🔗 www.octavegroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $263.3M 👥 Employees: 275
Octave Specialty Group Inc is a world-wide specialty insurance firm that provides strategic direction, risk oversight, data and technology solutions, and capital support to MGA businesses operating across the U.S., U.K., and Bermuda. The company operates in two segments: Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance and ID.
Total alerts
2
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.64%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.12%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading OSG on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.64%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -0.06%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -0.06%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.12%
Best: +0.77%
Worst: -0.12%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -0.19%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +0.30%
Worst: -0.94%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.21%
Avg Winner: +4.42%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.42%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.12%
Best MFE: +5.77%
Avg Time to MFE: 219 min

On average, OSG alerts reach +3.12% profit potential within 219 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.93%
Worst MAE: -1.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 33 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.93%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.36:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.36x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, OSG typically reaches +3.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURETY INSURANCE

How OSG compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OSG: +0.64% Sector: -0.19% +0.83%
EOD Gain
OSG: +2.21% Sector: +2.47% -0.26%
Avg MFE
OSG: +3.12% Sector: +4.23% -1.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OSG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-20 09:26:18 $8.42 -0.06% -0.12% - +0.30% - +0.48% -0.71% - LOSS
2023-12-26 09:27:00 $5.2 +1.35% +0.77% -0.19% -0.94% +4.42% +5.77% -1.15% -0.58% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 50.0% Baseline on OSG

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push OSG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OSG Strategy →

Why Analyze OSG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OSG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OSG historically offers an average upside of +3.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OSG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, OSG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OSG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.64%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.