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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$PGYWW

Trade-Ideas alert history 3 alerts 2022-07-272023-02-15

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 23, 2022 🔗 pagaya.com
👥 Employees: 511
Pagaya Technologies Ltd is a product-focused technology company. It uses machine learning, a vast data network, and an AI-driven approach to offer comprehensive consumer credit and residential real estate products for its partners, their customers, and investors. Its suite of products includes Decline Monetization, Dual Look, First Look, Affiliate Optimizer Engine, Direct Marketing Engine, and FastPass, providing lenders with an AI-powered credit and acquisition ecosystem that helps them approve more borrowers, capture more demand, and grow without adding risk. Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from its business in the United States.
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-2.04%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+7.53%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PGYWW on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.27%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.27%
Best: -3.82%
Worst: -10.71%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -12.84%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -12.84%
Best: -9.16%
Worst: -17.90%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -12.23%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -12.23%
Best: -6.44%
Worst: -20.00%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -2.04%
Avg Winner: +8.70%
Avg Loser: -12.79%
Best: +8.70%
Worst: -12.79%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.31%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.31%
Best: -4.81%
Worst: -10.10%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.53%
Best MFE: +11.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 63 min

On average, PGYWW alerts reach +7.53% profit potential within 63 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -12.99%
Worst MAE: -22.50%
Avg Time to MAE: 35 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 12.99%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.58:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, PGYWW typically reaches +7.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -9.40%
Best Gap +0.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How PGYWW compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PGYWW: -7.27% Sector: -0.22% -7.05%
EOD Gain
PGYWW: -5.92% Sector: +101.11% -107.03%
Avg MFE
PGYWW: +11.30% Sector: +5.23% +6.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PGYWW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-02-15 09:27:00 $0.13 -10.71% -9.16% -6.44% +8.70% -4.81% +11.02% -12.66% -10.71% LOSS
2022-12-29 09:25:00 $0.1 - -17.90% -20.00% - -10.10% - -22.50% -17.50% -
2022-07-27 09:25:00 $0.78 -3.82% -11.45% -10.23% -12.79% -7.03% +11.57% -3.82% +0.03% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ PGYWW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -2.04% average gain, PGYWW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PGYWW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PGYWW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PGYWW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PGYWW historically offers an average upside of +7.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PGYWW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, PGYWW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PGYWW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PGYWW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -2.04%). This suggests PGYWW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.