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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$PHYS

Trade-Ideas alert history 41 alerts 2022-01-252025-02-12

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 41 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Sprott Physical Gold Trust
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Feb 26, 2010 🔗 sprott.com
💰 Market Cap: $17.06B
Sprott Physical Gold Trust is a closed-end mutual fund trust. The company provides a secure, convenient and exchange-traded investment alternative for investors interested in holding physical gold bullion without the inconvenience associated with direct investment in physical gold bullion. The company invests mainly in long-term holdings of unencumbered, fully allocated, physical gold bullion and does not and will not speculate about short-term changes in gold prices.
Total alerts
41
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
61.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.07%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.57%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PHYS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 24.4%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.14%
Avg Loser: -0.14%
Best: +0.39%
Worst: -0.44%
Trades: 10/30

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.5%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.22%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +0.58%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 17/24

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +0.84%
Worst: -1.07%
Trades: 20/21

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +1.03%
Worst: -1.82%
Trades: 18/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 61.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +1.78%
Worst: -3.13%
Trades: 25/16

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.57%
Best MFE: +2.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 158 min

On average, PHYS alerts reach +0.57% profit potential within 158 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.24%
Worst MAE: -0.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 41 alerts, PHYS typically reaches +0.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 41
Gap Up % 51.2%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +0.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PHYS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:25:58 $22.34 +0.13% +0.13% +0.09% +0.14% +0.49% +0.73% -0.09% +0.18% WIN
2024-11-12 09:25:28 $20.05 -0.07% -0.22% -0.55% -1.12% -0.75% -0.05% -0.15% -0.10% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:29:20 $20.28 -0.35% -0.49% -0.49% -0.54% -0.69% +0.10% -0.10% +0.10% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:29:14 $20.8 +0.10% +0.17% +0.19% +0.48% +0.48% +0.62% -0.05% +0.05% WIN
2024-11-06 09:28:57 $20.65 -0.44% -0.24% -0.28% +0.10% -0.05% +0.48% -0.48% -0.05% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:26:28 $21.6 -0.25% -0.09% -0.02% -0.07% +0.28% +0.46% -0.32% - LOSS
2024-10-18 09:29:38 $21.0 +0.10% +0.32% +0.29% +0.48% +0.62% +0.71% -0.05% - WIN
2024-08-21 09:28:11 $19.46 -0.10% -0.18% -0.15% -0.21% +0.31% +0.62% -0.49% +0.05% LOSS
2024-08-16 09:29:15 $19.34 -0.03% +0.10% -0.05% -0.57% +0.41% +0.41% -0.78% - LOSS
2024-08-08 09:27:23 $18.77 -0.11% +0.03% -0.08% +0.08% +0.16% +0.21% -0.27% +0.11% LOSS
2024-08-06 09:27:14 $18.66 -0.13% -0.03% -0.08% -0.16% -0.38% +0.32% -0.25% +0.05% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:26:34 $18.56 -0.10% +0.08% +0.40% +0.19% +0.92% +1.29% -0.11% +0.11% LOSS
2024-03-04 09:27:29 $16.26 -0.05% +0.12% +0.15% +0.19% +0.86% +1.17% -0.18% +0.12% LOSS
2023-11-06 09:25:00 $15.58 -0.13% -0.13% -0.19% -0.19% -0.58% +0.13% -0.13% +0.13% LOSS
2023-11-03 09:25:00 $15.62 -0.19% +0.17% +0.10% - -0.13% +0.31% -0.32% +0.26% LOSS
2023-10-10 09:29:00 $14.36 +0.07% -0.10% +0.03% - +0.07% +0.70% +0.49% +0.21% WIN
2023-09-18 09:29:00 $15.01 -0.07% -0.13% -0.15% -0.00% +0.33% +0.53% -0.20% -0.07% LOSS
2023-05-05 09:26:00 $15.74 +0.06% -0.06% -0.06% +0.13% +0.57% +0.76% -0.29% +0.19% WIN
2023-04-13 09:27:00 $16.0 -0.12% -0.12% -0.00% -0.12% -0.25% +0.12% -0.31% -0.25% LOSS
2023-03-20 09:28:00 $15.35 +0.33% +0.49% +0.26% -0.20% +0.33% +0.65% -0.33% +0.39% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 61.0% Baseline on PHYS

The 61.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push PHYS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PHYS Strategy →

Why Analyze PHYS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PHYS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PHYS historically offers an average upside of +0.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PHYS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.0%, PHYS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PHYS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.