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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$PUBM

Trade-Ideas alert history 3 alerts 2022-03-012024-08-09

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 09, 2020 🔗 www.pubmatic.com
💰 Market Cap: $454.2M 👥 Employees: 1,030
PubMatic Inc is is an independent, artificial intelligence-powered advertising technology company that delivers digital advertising performance. Its integrated technology platform connects buyers, publishers, data providers, and commerce media networks on a single, unified platform, to deliver advertising performance, control, transparency and efficiency. Its platform empowers the world's digital content creators (publishers) to maximize monetization of their advertising inventory and audiences and provides control and transparency to buyers, which includes advertisers, agencies, agency trading desks, and demand side platforms (DSPs) (referred as buyers). Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from the United States, followed by EMEA, APAC, and Rest of the World.
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
33.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-1.82%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.36%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PUBM on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.10%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.10%
Best: -0.21%
Worst: -5.93%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.86%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.86%
Best: -2.98%
Worst: -5.17%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.82%
Avg Winner: +2.49%
Avg Loser: -3.97%
Best: +2.49%
Worst: -6.20%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.63%
Avg Winner: +3.66%
Avg Loser: -4.28%
Best: +3.66%
Worst: -4.53%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.19%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.28%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -9.46%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.36%
Best MFE: +6.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 82 min

On average, PUBM alerts reach +2.36% profit potential within 82 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.77%
Worst MAE: -9.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.41:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, PUBM typically reaches +2.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -1.96%
Best Gap +0.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How PUBM compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PUBM: -3.10% Sector: -0.08% -3.03%
EOD Gain
PUBM: -4.19% Sector: +7112.19% -7116.38%
Avg MFE
PUBM: +2.36% Sector: +3.14% -0.79%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PUBM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-09 09:26:37 $14.51 -5.93% -5.17% -6.20% -4.03% -3.10% -1.31% -9.17% -4.76% LOSS
2024-02-27 09:29:34 $20.48 -3.17% -2.98% +2.49% +3.66% - +6.59% -6.74% +0.05% LOSS
2022-03-01 09:25:00 $28.0 -0.21% -3.45% -1.75% -4.53% -9.46% +1.79% -1.39% -1.18% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ PUBM Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -1.82% average gain, PUBM alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PUBM for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PUBM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PUBM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PUBM historically offers an average upside of +2.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PUBM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, PUBM shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PUBM may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PUBM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.82%). This suggests PUBM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.