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$PYPL

Trade-Ideas alert history 597 alerts 2022-01-03 β†’ 2025-02-12

🏒 Company Profile

PayPal Holdings, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Jul 20, 2015 πŸ”— www.paypal.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $40.08B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 23,800
PayPal was spun off from eBay in 2015 and provides electronic payment solutions to merchants and consumers, with a focus on online transactions. The company had 439 million active accounts at the end of 2025. The company also owns Venmo, a person-to-person payment platform.
Total alerts
597
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· 60MIN
51.8%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· 60MIN
-0.02%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.69%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PYPL on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable PYPL setups

Historical PYPL setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.32%
Worst: -2.63%
Trades: 302/285

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +3.64%
Worst: -5.04%
Trades: 305/292

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +4.14%
Worst: -6.86%
Trades: 298/299

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -1.23%
Best: +4.56%
Worst: -6.31%
Trades: 309/288

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.1%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +10.89%
Worst: -7.49%
Trades: 299/297

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.69%
Best MFE: +11.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, PYPL alerts reach +1.69% profit potential within 129 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.66%
Worst MAE: -5.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 597 alerts, PYPL typically reaches +1.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 597
Gap Up % 46.2%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How PYPL compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PYPL: +0.03% Sector: -0.05% +0.07%
EOD Gain
PYPL: -0.03% Sector: +1758.96% -1758.99%
Avg MFE
PYPL: +1.69% Sector: +2.89% -1.20%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical PYPL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:27:49 $75.25 +0.54% +0.92% +1.36% +1.13% +1.36% +2.13% +0.07% +0.23% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:39 $77.84 -1.49% -1.33% -1.17% -1.54% -2.09% +0.01% -1.21% -0.03% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:37 $78.15 +0.08% +0.44% +0.52% +0.82% +0.12% +0.99% -0.69% +0.01% WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:30 $78.9 +0.44% +0.27% -0.35% -0.93% -2.02% +0.75% -0.11% +0.13% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:34 $79.73 -0.65% -1.40% -1.08% -1.39% -1.45% +0.13% +0.13% -0.06% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:51 $78.12 -0.10% +0.12% +0.29% +1.13% +1.38% +1.77% -0.58% +0.12% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:29:14 $82.29 -0.43% -1.29% -2.37% -1.57% -5.55% +0.49% -1.45% -0.04% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:10 $85.92 +1.23% +1.29% +0.88% +1.71% +4.18% +4.60% +0.09% +0.68% WIN
2025-01-27 09:29:27 $87.77 +0.25% +0.80% +1.34% +2.33% +2.81% +2.92% -0.43% -0.26% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:55 $90.03 +0.13% -0.63% -0.59% -0.32% -0.20% +0.38% -0.37% -0.03% WIN
2025-01-15 09:26:54 $88.36 +0.62% +0.84% +1.34% +1.79% +1.45% +2.07% +0.12% +0.41% WIN
2025-01-08 09:29:03 $87.86 +0.25% -0.40% -0.63% -0.91% +0.09% +0.42% -0.08% +0.23% WIN
2025-01-06 09:29:51 $88.15 +0.16% +0.25% +0.50% +1.28% +1.57% +2.20% -0.49% -0.15% WIN
2024-12-20 09:26:00 $85.08 -0.55% +0.61% +1.27% +1.85% +2.41% +3.70% -0.68% -0.20% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:29:04 $86.5 +1.40% +1.55% +1.09% +0.34% +0.32% +2.22% -0.25% -0.25% WIN
2024-12-18 09:26:12 $91.03 -0.23% -0.63% -0.59% -0.68% -6.13% +0.07% -0.60% -0.37% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:27:25 $91.2 -0.32% +0.06% +0.49% -0.37% -0.37% +0.88% -0.75% -0.33% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:26:35 $90.4 -0.46% +0.17% -0.13% +0.62% +0.69% +0.87% -0.64% +0.02% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:59 $92.07 -0.03% -0.30% -0.37% -1.31% -2.25% +1.73% -0.42% +0.20% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:27:35 $89.25 -0.33% -0.49% -0.45% -0.22% -0.23% +1.14% +0.20% +0.38% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ PYPL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.8% win rate, PYPL has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making PYPL profitable.

πŸ”§ Fix PYPL Risk / Reward β†’

Why Analyze PYPL with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PYPL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PYPL historically offers an average upside of +1.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š PYPL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.8%, PYPL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.23%) outweigh average wins (+1.12%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PYPL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests PYPL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.