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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$RILY

Trade-Ideas alert history 22 alerts 2023-07-262025-01-14

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 22 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

BRC Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock INVESTMENT ADVICE (SIC 6282)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 03, 2009 🔗 www.brcgh.com
💰 Market Cap: $323.4M 👥 Employees: 1,380
BRC Group Holdings Inc is a diversified holding company offering a platform of businesses, including financial services (with complementary banking and wealth management businesses), telecom, retail, and investments in equity, debt, and venture capital. It serves retail, corporate, capital providers, and individual customers across different business lines. The Group reports its activities in seven reportable business segments: Capital Markets, Wealth Management, Lingo, magicJack, Marconi Wireless, UOL, and Consumer Products. Maximum revenue is generated from the Consumer Products segment, which offers mobile computing accessories and home furnishing products. Geographically, the Group derives its revenue from North America.
Total alerts
22
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.63%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+7.64%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading RILY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.63%
Avg Winner: +2.95%
Avg Loser: -4.22%
Best: +10.73%
Worst: -9.43%
Trades: 11/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -1.40%
Avg Winner: +2.42%
Avg Loser: -4.88%
Best: +6.53%
Worst: -7.89%
Trades: 10/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +3.66%
Avg Loser: -4.85%
Best: +13.41%
Worst: -9.21%
Trades: 10/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +4.56%
Avg Loser: -4.41%
Best: +13.15%
Worst: -11.40%
Trades: 9/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -1.68%
Avg Winner: +6.98%
Avg Loser: -7.68%
Best: +21.85%
Worst: -21.24%
Trades: 9/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.64%
Best MFE: +22.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 95 min

On average, RILY alerts reach +7.64% profit potential within 95 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.94%
Worst MAE: -11.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.94%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.94:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, RILY typically reaches +7.64% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 18.2%
Avg Gap -0.58%
Best Gap +1.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE

How RILY compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RILY: -0.61% Sector: -0.13% -0.48%
EOD Gain
RILY: -1.61% Sector: +3.47% -5.08%
Avg MFE
RILY: +7.95% Sector: +1.91% +6.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RILY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-14 09:29:33 $4.97 -7.65% -4.42% -8.68% -9.15% -9.46% - -7.14% -0.80% LOSS
2024-11-04 09:27:31 $5.2 -4.90% -7.89% -6.35% -6.15% -5.38% +2.88% -1.73% -0.96% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:25:39 $5.97 +2.89% +5.28% +8.54% +13.15% +6.37% +18.43% -2.05% -0.84% WIN
2024-10-15 09:27:57 $5.31 +0.94% +0.28% -0.19% -0.94% -6.78% +5.06% -3.39% -0.56% WIN
2024-10-14 09:25:22 $5.26 +3.04% -0.95% +2.47% +2.28% +3.04% +10.65% -2.85% -0.95% WIN
2024-09-09 09:27:53 $5.52 -1.27% +4.71% +13.41% +11.41% +7.43% +17.75% -3.44% - LOSS
2024-08-22 09:27:18 $7.72 -4.73% -3.76% -5.42% -11.40% -21.24% +0.39% -2.46% -1.94% LOSS
2024-08-19 09:28:22 $5.37 +1.12% -3.72% -8.95% -4.69% +2.61% +4.28% -10.24% - WIN
2024-08-16 09:29:47 $6.28 +6.21% +6.53% +1.35% +3.03% -6.85% +8.28% -2.55% -0.48% WIN
2024-08-13 09:25:43 $7.4 -1.22% +3.78% +6.62% -0.81% -2.43% +9.32% -6.89% - LOSS
2024-08-12 09:26:41 $8.94 -5.59% -4.92% +1.01% +0.22% -8.84% +10.51% -2.57% -1.34% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:27:39 $28.47 +0.39% +2.18% +0.26% +4.21% +21.85% +22.94% -1.97% +0.07% WIN
2024-04-24 09:29:58 $30.71 +10.73% -1.47% -3.09% +1.32% -3.13% +13.97% -4.62% -0.33% WIN
2024-03-18 09:27:46 $15.51 +2.45% +0.34% -1.10% -0.06% +10.64% +11.48% -2.64% +0.64% WIN
2024-03-01 09:25:06 $16.51 -2.85% -5.94% -9.21% -4.06% +2.03% +4.30% -9.75% -2.42% LOSS
2024-02-22 09:28:01 $18.77 -9.43% -7.51% -3.78% -5.81% -11.83% +5.97% -11.78% -0.64% LOSS
2024-02-20 09:26:29 $18.19 -2.91% -5.93% -5.88% -6.82% -12.04% -0.82% -0.82% -1.48% LOSS
2024-02-15 09:26:04 $18.56 +0.59% +0.24% +0.11% -0.78% -4.74% +2.86% +0.16% +1.83% WIN
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $31.8 +3.65% -7.14% -0.72% -6.45% -3.87% +5.31% -0.16% - WIN
2023-11-07 09:25:00 $33.7 -4.69% +0.01% +1.22% +4.69% +3.20% +7.09% -6.53% -2.23% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ RILY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.63% average gain, RILY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RILY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RILY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RILY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RILY historically offers an average upside of +7.64% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RILY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, RILY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RILY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RILY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.63%). This suggests RILY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.