$SMCI
Trade-Ideas alert history 254 alerts 2022-07-21 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading SMCI on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SMCI alerts reach +4.01% profit potential within 105 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.74%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.31x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 254 alerts, SMCI typically reaches +4.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS
How SMCI compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SMCI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:28:24 | $42.95 | +3.90% | +6.45% | +7.19% | +9.31% | +11.55% | +12.18% | -0.30% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:29:24 | $39.04 | +1.19% | -1.64% | -0.65% | +3.45% | +8.30% | +10.89% | -3.94% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:25:19 | $42.52 | -1.43% | -3.55% | -1.37% | -4.12% | -6.68% | +3.22% | -6.44% | -0.52% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:28:49 | $40.64 | -0.07% | +1.76% | +3.67% | +1.57% | -5.00% | +4.31% | -2.07% | -0.12% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:28:38 | $38.03 | -0.39% | +0.50% | +0.08% | +2.52% | +12.15% | +12.75% | -1.76% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:25:52 | $34.7 | +0.63% | +3.69% | +3.95% | +2.46% | +4.55% | +6.51% | -1.07% | -0.43% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:27:37 | $32.1 | +0.61% | +0.90% | +3.96% | +4.80% | +5.42% | +7.32% | -0.78% | -0.41% | WIN |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:29:16 | $31.06 | +0.29% | -3.82% | -1.93% | +3.22% | +1.38% | +6.65% | -4.22% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:28:30 | $27.87 | +1.47% | +0.74% | +2.61% | +1.76% | +4.63% | +5.71% | -1.87% | -0.18% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:29:09 | $27.19 | -2.35% | -2.46% | -3.25% | -1.43% | -1.25% | +1.54% | -5.44% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:27:21 | $28.7 | -0.21% | +1.25% | +0.45% | +2.51% | -0.63% | +7.18% | -1.25% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:28:00 | $28.66 | -1.57% | -1.26% | -1.54% | -2.20% | -0.07% | +0.52% | -2.97% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:25:45 | $28.42 | -0.21% | -1.55% | -1.50% | -1.46% | -2.18% | +0.31% | -0.25% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:26:32 | $29.47 | -0.41% | -6.03% | -5.62% | -1.83% | -4.38% | +0.78% | -0.84% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:40 | $30.1 | +1.93% | +0.53% | +3.46% | +5.93% | -3.42% | +6.15% | -1.40% | +0.70% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:27:23 | $34.01 | +0.24% | +0.14% | +0.47% | +1.41% | -2.18% | +2.03% | -0.65% | -0.03% | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:25:35 | $33.44 | -1.38% | -1.06% | -1.35% | -1.33% | -0.09% | +1.24% | -1.94% | -0.57% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:26:55 | $34.12 | -0.22% | -3.17% | +0.82% | -0.32% | -0.76% | +2.52% | -4.16% | -0.41% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:25:09 | $31.34 | +0.96% | +0.48% | +5.11% | +0.19% | +3.54% | +6.86% | -0.51% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:27:48 | $31.8 | -0.71% | -1.01% | -1.34% | -2.34% | -3.08% | +0.16% | +0.01% | -0.16% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ SMCI Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.13% average gain, SMCI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SMCI for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze SMCI with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMCI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMCI historically offers an average upside of +4.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SMCI Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, SMCI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SMCI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SMCI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.13%). This suggests SMCI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.