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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SMG

Trade-Ideas alert history 2 alerts 2022-06-082025-02-03

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 2 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS (SIC 2870)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 31, 1992 🔗 www.scottsmiraclegro.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.47B 👥 Employees: 5,200
Scotts Miracle-Gro is the largest purveyor of home lawn and gardening products in the US. The company sells a broad range of lawncare products, including grass seed, fertilizer, and lawn-related weed, animal, and disease control. US consumer typically generates the vast majority of companywide revenue and profits. Its lawncare and gardening products are well-recognized brands in the US, including Scotts, Miracle-Gro, Roundup, Ortho, and Tomcat. Over half of revenue typically comes from Home Depot and Lowe's, as Scotts' products are featured at both home improvement retailers.
Total alerts
2
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
100.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.08%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.64%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SMG on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.12%
Worst: +0.04%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +1.85%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.27%
Avg Winner: +4.07%
Avg Loser: -1.53%
Best: +4.07%
Worst: -1.53%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.85%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -0.07%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: -0.07%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.58%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.79%
Worst: +0.38%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.64%
Best MFE: +5.13%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, SMG alerts reach +3.64% profit potential within 69 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.40%
Worst MAE: -1.80%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, SMG typically reaches +3.64% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.14%
Best Gap +0.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS

How SMG compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SMG: +0.08% Sector: -0.47% +0.55%
EOD Gain
SMG: +1.58% Sector: +3367.10% -3365.51%
Avg MFE
SMG: +3.64% Sector: +7.17% -3.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SMG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:28:28 $69.0 +0.04% -1.12% -1.53% -0.07% +0.38% +2.14% -1.80% +0.45% WIN
2022-06-08 09:25:00 $90.6 +0.12% +1.85% +4.07% +1.77% +2.79% +5.13% -0.99% -0.18% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 100.0% Baseline on SMG

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push SMG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SMG Strategy →

Why Analyze SMG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMG historically offers an average upside of +3.64% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SMG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, SMG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SMG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.