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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SW

Trade-Ideas alert history 31 alerts 2024-07-092025-02-06

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 31 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 10, 2008 🔗 www.smurfitwestrock.com
💰 Market Cap: $21.28B 👥 Employees: 97,000
Smurfit WestRock PLC manufactures corrugated packaging and consumer packaging, such as folding cartons and paperboard. operates a vertically integrated system supplying wood and recovered fiber to produce various grades of board, which are then converted into packaging products. Its main packaging categories include corrugated containers and consumer packaging, with additional products such as solidboard, kraft paper, graphic board, paper sacks, and bag-in-box packaging. The company's geographical segments include North America (including the U.S., Canada and Mexico), Europe, the Middle East and Africa and Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from product sales in the North American region.
Total alerts
31
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
64.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.47%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.31%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SW on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 64.5%
Avg Gain: +0.47%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +7.60%
Worst: -0.53%
Trades: 20/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.1%
Avg Gain: +0.55%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +7.58%
Worst: -0.78%
Trades: 18/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.1%
Avg Gain: +0.61%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +8.39%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 18/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 58.1%
Avg Gain: +0.92%
Avg Winner: +1.86%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +8.86%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 18/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.8%
Avg Gain: +1.08%
Avg Winner: +2.76%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +11.29%
Worst: -3.15%
Trades: 17/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.31%
Best MFE: +11.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 183 min

On average, SW alerts reach +2.31% profit potential within 183 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.21%
Worst MAE: -1.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

11.19:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 11.19x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 31 alerts, SW typically reaches +2.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 31
Gap Up % 61.3%
Avg Gap +0.28%
Best Gap +7.84%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PAPERBOARD CONTAINERS & BOXES

How SW compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SW: +0.47% Sector: +0.43% +0.04%
EOD Gain
SW: +1.08% Sector: +340.77% -339.69%
Avg MFE
SW: +2.31% Sector: +4.39% -2.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:28:22 $54.26 +0.13% +0.39% +0.94% +1.60% +1.11% +2.36% -0.07% +0.33% WIN
2025-01-06 09:26:22 $52.05 +1.96% +2.06% +2.25% +2.04% +2.50% +3.05% +0.17% +1.25% WIN
2024-12-03 09:27:55 $55.25 -0.52% -0.78% -0.74% -0.70% -0.05% +0.27% -0.13% +0.11% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:26:55 $50.65 +7.60% +7.58% +8.39% +8.86% +11.29% +11.33% +7.40% +7.84% WIN
2024-11-12 09:28:09 $51.5 -0.38% -0.10% -0.39% -0.85% -1.63% +0.25% -0.64% -0.21% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:27:35 $52.74 +0.25% +0.30% +0.13% -0.05% -0.66% +0.74% -0.42% +0.09% WIN
2024-10-30 09:29:46 $47.08 +1.00% +3.04% +3.89% +5.20% +6.35% +8.09% -0.25% -0.04% WIN
2024-10-17 09:29:07 $43.72 -0.39% -0.23% -0.59% -0.46% -0.69% +0.46% -0.39% +0.05% LOSS
2024-10-16 09:28:40 $43.95 +0.32% +0.03% +0.16% +1.60% +3.28% +3.34% -0.23% - WIN
2024-10-03 09:25:36 $47.4 +0.06% -0.46% -0.86% -0.61% -1.62% +0.17% -1.03% -0.15% WIN
2024-09-19 09:28:16 $48.8 +0.43% -0.37% -0.39% -0.78% +0.45% +1.29% -1.07% +0.41% WIN
2024-09-04 09:28:42 $45.07 +0.59% +1.05% +1.38% +1.64% +1.11% +2.42% - +0.02% WIN
2024-08-27 09:28:17 $46.52 -0.14% -0.04% -0.09% - +0.80% +0.82% -1.42% -0.56% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:25:31 $43.99 +0.84% +0.20% -0.23% -0.45% -0.45% +1.07% +0.32% +0.32% WIN
2024-08-12 09:27:54 $38.98 - - -0.21% -0.08% -0.33% +0.69% -0.23% +0.08% -
2024-08-09 09:26:56 $39.25 -0.33% -0.74% -0.84% +0.79% -0.74% +0.82% -1.04% -0.87% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:25:11 $39.54 +0.66% +1.23% +0.58% +1.09% +1.26% +3.52% -0.08% +0.51% WIN
2024-08-01 09:28:34 $44.73 +0.31% +0.16% +0.19% -0.37% -3.15% +0.85% -0.13% +0.16% WIN
2024-07-31 09:29:16 $43.41 +0.71% +2.05% +0.55% +3.11% +3.29% +5.37% -0.53% -0.28% WIN
2024-07-29 09:29:06 $48.44 -0.22% -0.04% - +0.06% -1.84% +0.25% -0.74% +0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 64.5% Baseline on SW

The 64.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push SW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SW Strategy →

Why Analyze SW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SW historically offers an average upside of +2.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 64.5%, SW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SW performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.47%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.