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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SWBI

Trade-Ideas alert history 5 alerts 2022-03-042024-12-06

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 5 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Common Stock ORDNANCE & ACCESSORIES, (NO VEHICLES/GUIDED MISSILES) (SIC 3480)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 09, 1998 🔗 www.smith-wesson.com
💰 Market Cap: $641.6M 👥 Employees: 1,416
Smith & Wesson Brands Inc is a U.S.-based leader in firearm manufacturing. It operates under one reportable segment: Firearms, which includes firearms distribution and manufacturing services. The company manufactures handguns, long guns, sporting rifles, shooting gear, and suppressor products. The firm's brand portfolio consists of Smith and Wesson, M&P, Thompson/Center Arms, Performance Center, and Gemtech; which are used for defense, law enforcement, hunting, and sporting purposes. The company operates internationally, with the majority of income generated by the U.S. market from its handgun products.
Total alerts
5
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
60.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.69%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+7.76%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SWBI on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.69%
Avg Winner: +3.51%
Avg Loser: -3.55%
Best: +5.18%
Worst: -6.58%
Trades: 3/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.54%
Avg Winner: +4.25%
Avg Loser: -3.74%
Best: +6.39%
Worst: -6.14%
Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -1.12%
Avg Winner: +9.87%
Avg Loser: -3.87%
Best: +9.87%
Worst: -4.74%
Trades: 1/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.85%
Avg Winner: +6.63%
Avg Loser: -2.99%
Best: +11.72%
Worst: -4.56%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +2.93%
Avg Winner: +8.17%
Avg Loser: -4.93%
Best: +13.53%
Worst: -5.13%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.76%
Best MFE: +14.54%
Avg Time to MFE: 127 min

On average, SWBI alerts reach +7.76% profit potential within 127 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.06%
Worst MAE: -3.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.29:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.29x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, SWBI typically reaches +7.76% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap +0.29%
Best Gap +2.23%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ORDNANCE & ACCESSORIES, (NO VEHICLES/GUIDED MISSILES)

How SWBI compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SWBI: +0.69% Sector: -0.51% +1.19%
EOD Gain
SWBI: +2.93% Sector: +1.16% +1.77%
Avg MFE
SWBI: +7.76% Sector: +4.40% +3.36%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SWBI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-06 09:28:23 $11.4 -6.58% -6.14% -4.74% -4.04% -4.74% +1.58% +1.58% -0.09% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:25:18 $13.0 +5.18% -2.42% -4.69% -0.38% +2.08% +5.18% -0.08% +2.23% WIN
2023-09-08 09:28:00 $12.28 +3.26% +2.12% -2.84% -4.56% -5.13% +7.33% -2.36% -0.81% WIN
2023-06-23 09:25:00 $11.9 +2.10% +6.39% +9.87% +11.72% +13.53% +14.54% -0.84% +0.84% WIN
2022-03-04 09:25:00 $14.37 -0.52% -2.64% -3.20% +1.53% +8.91% +10.16% -3.62% -0.72% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 60.0% Baseline on SWBI

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push SWBI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SWBI Strategy →

Why Analyze SWBI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SWBI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SWBI historically offers an average upside of +7.76% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SWBI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, SWBI shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SWBI performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.69%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.