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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TOST

Trade-Ideas alert history 36 alerts 2022-02-162025-01-10

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 36 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 22, 2021 🔗 www.toasttab.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.49B 👥 Employees: 6,500
Toast Inc is a cloud-based, all-in-one digital technology platform purpose-built for the restaurant community. The company provides a comprehensive platform of software-as-a-service (SaaS) products and financial technology solutions, including integrated payment processing, restaurant-grade hardware, and a broad ecosystem of third-party partners. It serves as a restaurant operating system, connecting front of house and back of house operations across service models such as dine-in, takeout, and delivery. It operates through one reportable segment consisting of its SaaS products, financial technology solutions, integrated payments, hardware, and partner ecosystem.
Total alerts
36
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
41.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.27%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.47%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TOST on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +3.81%
Worst: -4.96%
Trades: 15/21

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.9%
Avg Gain: -0.88%
Avg Winner: +1.82%
Avg Loser: -2.73%
Best: +4.20%
Worst: -8.80%
Trades: 14/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 30.6%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +2.80%
Avg Loser: -2.04%
Best: +6.32%
Worst: -6.64%
Trades: 11/25

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -2.30%
Best: +4.88%
Worst: -5.67%
Trades: 12/23

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -3.45%
Best: +5.31%
Worst: -8.10%
Trades: 15/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.47%
Best MFE: +7.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 62 min

On average, TOST alerts reach +2.47% profit potential within 62 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.25%
Worst MAE: -8.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.97:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 36 alerts, TOST typically reaches +2.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 36
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.59%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How TOST compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TOST: -0.27% Sector: -0.45% +0.18%
EOD Gain
TOST: -1.17% Sector: +1109.54% -1110.71%
Avg MFE
TOST: +2.47% Sector: +6.73% -4.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TOST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-10 09:29:56 $36.1 -0.80% - -0.76% -1.34% -1.11% +0.55% -1.41% +0.33% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:25:29 $42.51 -0.12% +1.18% +0.75% +0.64% +0.54% +1.74% -0.26% +0.21% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:29:41 $42.05 +0.55% +1.09% +1.15% +0.93% +0.74% +2.95% -0.10% +0.48% WIN
2024-11-20 09:29:52 $42.54 -0.52% -0.59% -1.36% -1.39% -0.09% +0.73% -0.82% +0.45% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:28:47 $37.96 -4.96% -7.80% -4.50% -5.67% -1.26% +1.34% -1.21% +1.13% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:27:17 $30.25 +0.53% +1.11% +2.02% +2.84% +2.41% +4.36% -0.66% -0.40% WIN
2024-03-07 09:25:43 $25.29 +0.12% -0.36% -0.59% -1.74% -1.86% +1.34% -0.79% -0.55% WIN
2024-02-20 09:28:24 $21.71 +0.51% +0.16% -1.59% -0.23% +0.32% +1.47% -1.75% -0.88% WIN
2024-02-16 09:28:03 $21.29 +0.52% +3.06% +3.92% +2.18% +5.31% +6.43% -1.55% +0.28% WIN
2024-02-15 09:26:23 $20.36 +1.08% +0.20% +0.44% +0.44% -5.70% +1.38% -0.34% +0.10% WIN
2024-02-07 09:26:32 $19.33 -2.41% -3.31% -3.47% -1.37% -0.26% +0.05% -0.05% -0.67% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $14.88 -0.94% -1.44% -0.60% - +1.68% +4.00% -2.89% -0.40% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:25:00 $15.4 +0.13% -1.20% -1.04% -1.75% -3.44% +0.19% -0.58% -0.32% WIN
2023-11-14 09:28:00 $14.28 +1.65% +3.71% +2.55% +1.33% +3.01% +4.66% -0.14% +0.14% WIN
2023-11-10 09:26:00 $14.23 -0.28% -0.04% -0.74% -1.23% -0.84% +1.23% -0.84% -0.42% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:26:00 $14.28 -0.21% -1.12% -0.84% -1.02% +4.27% +5.81% -2.94% +0.14% LOSS
2023-10-27 09:29:00 $16.4 +0.12% -2.38% -2.45% -2.13% -3.84% +0.85% -0.24% - WIN
2023-10-04 09:25:00 $17.53 -0.29% -1.23% -1.71% -2.51% -0.68% -0.06% -0.51% -0.17% LOSS
2023-10-02 09:25:00 $17.88 +0.29% +3.19% +4.19% +3.33% +2.46% +4.53% -1.79% -0.92% WIN
2023-09-06 09:25:00 $22.6 +0.04% -1.42% -2.26% -4.58% -5.44% +1.24% -0.89% +0.27% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ TOST Shows Negative Expectancy

With 41.7% win rate and -0.27% average gain, TOST alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TOST for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TOST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOST historically offers an average upside of +2.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TOST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.7%, TOST shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TOST may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TOST shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.27%). This suggests TOST is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.