$ULTA
Trade-Ideas alert history 18 alerts 2022-07-07 → 2024-12-06
⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 18 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading ULTA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ULTA alerts reach +1.84% profit potential within 117 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.85%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.16x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, ULTA typically reaches +1.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-RETAIL STORES, NEC
How ULTA compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ULTA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-06 | 09:26:17 | $429.9 | +0.72% | +2.41% | +2.71% | +0.48% | -0.40% | +4.13% | -1.14% | -0.38% | WIN |
| 2024-08-30 | 09:25:06 | $343.2 | -0.05% | +2.29% | +4.86% | +3.77% | +2.81% | +5.31% | -0.35% | +0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-15 | 09:28:57 | $372.9 | -2.44% | -1.98% | -3.79% | -2.45% | -1.90% | +0.03% | -1.59% | -0.34% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-22 | 09:28:15 | $523.37 | -0.47% | -0.69% | -1.35% | -1.26% | -0.57% | +0.61% | -1.55% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-05 | 09:29:27 | $509.2 | -0.60% | -0.24% | -1.56% | -2.41% | -1.34% | +0.01% | -0.81% | -0.53% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-01 | 09:25:00 | $476.51 | -0.54% | -1.22% | +0.24% | -1.25% | -0.94% | +0.58% | -2.42% | -0.27% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-02 | 09:29:00 | $402.5 | -0.17% | -0.63% | -0.51% | +0.51% | +0.11% | +1.07% | -0.93% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-27 | 09:28:00 | $392.5 | -0.23% | +0.30% | +0.57% | +0.78% | -0.02% | +0.85% | -0.33% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-08 | 09:26:00 | $420.0 | -0.74% | -0.88% | -1.53% | -1.12% | -1.50% | -0.17% | -1.02% | -0.99% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-04 | 09:25:00 | $436.5 | -0.36% | -0.67% | +0.26% | +0.87% | +0.42% | +1.74% | -0.97% | -0.34% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-26 | 09:25:00 | $438.0 | -1.14% | -1.68% | -2.65% | -1.47% | -4.05% | +0.43% | -1.80% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-17 | 09:25:00 | $399.99 | +0.34% | -0.81% | -0.51% | +0.50% | +0.64% | +1.41% | -2.03% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2022-10-13 | 09:25:00 | $390.0 | +0.61% | +0.46% | +0.81% | +0.15% | +2.28% | +2.67% | -0.83% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2022-10-04 | 09:25:00 | $411.46 | +0.34% | -0.72% | -0.93% | -0.69% | -1.83% | +0.64% | -0.19% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2022-09-07 | 09:25:00 | $424.75 | +0.87% | +1.47% | +2.03% | +2.30% | +4.53% | +4.92% | +0.66% | +1.10% | WIN |
| 2022-08-29 | 09:25:00 | $405.77 | -0.16% | +1.04% | +1.39% | +2.30% | +2.92% | +4.41% | -0.39% | -0.00% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-16 | 09:25:00 | $407.0 | +0.73% | +1.68% | +2.21% | +2.35% | +0.06% | +2.90% | +0.01% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2022-07-07 | 09:25:00 | $381.76 | +0.95% | +1.06% | +1.06% | +0.08% | +0.49% | +1.63% | +0.35% | +0.35% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
Beat the 61.1% Baseline on ULTA
The 61.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ULTA's performance to 75%+.
Optimize ULTA Strategy →Why Analyze ULTA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ULTA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ULTA historically offers an average upside of +1.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ULTA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 61.1%, ULTA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ULTA performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.