USAR Analysis: 63.6% Win Rate

Ticker Report — Active Last signal · April 02, 2026

🏢 Company Profile

USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock METAL MINING (SIC 1000)

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 14, 2025 🔗 www.usare.com

💰 Market Cap: $5.57B 👥 Employees: 132

USA Rare Earth Inc is a vertically integrated, domestic rare earth magnet supply chain that supports the state of energy, mobility, and national security in the United States. USARE is developing an NdFeB magnet manufacturing plant in the United States, and establishing domestic rare earth and critical minerals supply, extraction, and processing capabilities to both supply its manufacturing plant and market surplus materials to third parties. The company operates in a single reportable operating segment; that segment being the vertically integrated, domestic rare earth element magnet production supply chain. Geographically, it operates in United States, and International. It derives maximum revenue from International.

Total alerts

Trade-Ideas signal history

Win rate · 15MIN

63.6%

Best timeframe baseline

Avg gain · 15MIN

+0.27%

Per-alert expectancy

Best trade

+3.29%

Single-alert top outcome

Practice trading USAR on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 61.8%

Avg Gain: +0.19%

Avg Winner: +0.61%

Avg Loser: -0.50%

Best: +2.46%

Worst: -1.71%

Trades: 34/21

15MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%

Avg Gain: +0.27%

Avg Winner: +0.71%

Avg Loser: -0.51%

Best: +3.29%

Worst: -1.95%

Trades: 35/20

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.7%

Avg Gain: +0.24%

Avg Winner: +0.85%

Avg Loser: -0.46%

Best: +3.61%

Worst: -2.09%

Trades: 29/25

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%

Avg Gain: +0.13%

Avg Winner: +0.99%

Avg Loser: -0.70%

Best: +3.49%

Worst: -1.85%

Trades: 27/28

🎯 Top Alert Patterns

Rsi oversold

Alerts 3

Win Rate 66.7%

Avg Gain +0.36%

Above sma200

Alerts 47

Win Rate 61.7%

Avg Gain +0.19%

Below sma200

Alerts 8

Win Rate 62.5%

Avg Gain +0.16%

📅 Recent Activity

Last 7 Days

55 alerts

Win Rate: 61.8%

Avg Gain: +0.19%

Last 30 Days

55 alerts

Win Rate: 61.8%

Avg Gain: +0.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical USAR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date	Time	Price	5min	15min	30min	60min	EOD	MFE	MAE	Gap	Result
2026-04-02	None	$14.2	+0.08%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-04-01	None	$15.62	+0.48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-31	None	$14.62	+0.23%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-30	None	$15.74	+1.08%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-27	None	$15.75	-0.51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-03-26	None	$16.34	-0.21%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-03-25	None	$17.12	+0.41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-23	None	$16.97	-0.30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-03-20	None	$17.84	+0.34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-19	None	$17.91	-0.31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-03-18	None	$19.34	-0.26%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-03-16	None	$19.78	+0.03%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-13	None	$19.84	-0.33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-03-12	None	$20.61	-0.01%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-03-11	None	$20.49	+0.84%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-10	None	$18.75	+0.05%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-09	None	$17.39	+0.93%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-06	None	$18.59	-0.11%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-03-05	None	$19.11	+0.47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-03-04	None	$19.75	-0.42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 63.6% Baseline on USAR

The 63.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push USAR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize USAR Strategy →

Why Analyze USAR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for USAR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, USAR historically offers an average upside of +0.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 USAR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, USAR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show USAR performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.

$USAR