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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$XPOF

Trade-Ideas alert history 7 alerts 2022-04-072024-12-10

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 7 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 23, 2021 🔗 www.xponential.com
💰 Market Cap: $214.8M 👥 Employees: 340
Xponential Fitness Inc is a franchisor of boutique health and wellness brands. It operates a diversified platform of five brands spanning across verticals, including Pilates, barre, stretching, functional training, and yoga. Through its subsidiary, it offers an energetic, accessible, and personalized workout experience led by qualified instructors in studio locations throughout North America and internationally. The company's portfolio of brands includes Club Pilates; StretchLab; YogaSix; Pure Barre; and BFT. It operates in a single segment of the franchise business of its health and wellness brands.
Total alerts
7
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
42.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.88%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.22%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading XPOF on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.88%
Avg Winner: +1.65%
Avg Loser: -2.78%
Best: +3.32%
Worst: -6.70%
Trades: 3/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -2.13%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -4.37%
Best: +1.75%
Worst: -10.25%
Trades: 3/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -3.03%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -4.70%
Best: +1.64%
Worst: -13.16%
Trades: 2/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -3.42%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -6.80%
Best: +1.78%
Worst: -13.75%
Trades: 3/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -5.00%
Avg Winner: +4.77%
Avg Loser: -8.91%
Best: +7.17%
Worst: -22.52%
Trades: 2/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.22%
Best MFE: +9.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, XPOF alerts reach +3.22% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.95%
Worst MAE: -3.49%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.65:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, XPOF typically reaches +3.22% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -0.44%
Best Gap +1.48%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION

How XPOF compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XPOF: -0.88% Sector: +0.00% -0.88%
EOD Gain
XPOF: -5.00% Sector: +7.84% -12.84%
Avg MFE
XPOF: +3.22% Sector: +2.23% +0.99%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XPOF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-10 09:27:48 $15.45 +0.03% +0.61% +0.68% -1.75% -5.63% +0.80% +0.03% +0.13% WIN
2024-03-04 09:26:26 $14.0 -2.71% -5.41% -7.57% -9.54% -7.57% +0.43% -1.57% +0.29% LOSS
2023-12-13 09:28:00 $9.9 +1.62% +0.20% -1.41% +0.25% +7.17% +9.80% -2.53% -0.91% WIN
2023-06-28 09:28:00 $18.25 +3.32% +1.75% +1.64% +1.78% -6.14% +5.10% -1.04% +1.48% WIN
2023-06-27 09:29:00 $20.29 -6.70% -10.25% -13.16% -13.75% -22.52% +0.94% -3.20% -2.91% LOSS
2023-02-08 09:26:00 $24.75 -1.41% -0.48% -0.14% -2.18% -2.71% +0.55% -1.82% -0.28% LOSS
2022-04-07 09:25:00 $21.49 -0.28% -1.33% -1.23% +1.26% +2.37% +4.93% -3.49% -0.88% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ XPOF Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.9% win rate and -0.88% average gain, XPOF alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider XPOF for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze XPOF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XPOF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XPOF historically offers an average upside of +3.22% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XPOF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.9%, XPOF shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests XPOF may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: XPOF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.88%). This suggests XPOF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.