FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$DX

Trade-Ideas alert history 4 alerts 2023-08-172024-10-21

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 4 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 29, 1988 🔗 www.dynexcapital.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.86B 👥 Employees: 28
Dynex Capital Inc is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on delivering dividends supported by long term returns from investments in mortgage assets backed by U.S. housing and commercial real estate. The Company is internally managed and mainly invests in residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities (RMBS and CMBS), which are Agency securities guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs). It manages interest rate, prepayment, spread, liquidity, and counterparty risks and operates through one reportable segment investing in MBS funded with repurchase agreements and equity.
Total alerts
4
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.17%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.40%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading DX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.12%
Avg Loser: -0.31%
Best: +0.12%
Worst: -0.70%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +0.61%
Worst: -1.70%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.49%
Avg Winner: +0.04%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +0.04%
Worst: -1.55%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.89%
Avg Winner: +0.07%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +0.07%
Worst: -2.13%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.89%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.89%
Best: -0.73%
Worst: -2.86%
Trades: 0/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.40%
Best MFE: +0.66%
Avg Time to MFE: 16 min

On average, DX alerts reach +0.40% profit potential within 16 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.38%
Worst MAE: -0.89%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.04:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, DX typically reaches +0.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How DX compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DX: -0.20% Sector: -0.14% -0.06%
EOD Gain
DX: -1.89% Sector: +296893.71% -296895.61%
Avg MFE
DX: +0.40% Sector: +2.11% -1.72%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-21 09:27:00 $12.92 -0.70% -1.70% -1.55% -2.13% -2.86% +0.08% -0.15% -0.15% LOSS
2024-06-06 09:25:00 $12.08 +0.12% +0.46% -0.41% -1.03% -1.99% +0.66% -0.08% - WIN
2024-03-21 09:26:52 $12.36 -0.08% +0.61% +0.04% -0.49% -0.73% +0.61% -0.89% -0.32% LOSS
2023-08-17 09:29:00 $12.55 -0.16% -0.04% -0.04% +0.07% -1.99% +0.24% -0.40% -0.24% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ DX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.17% average gain, DX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DX historically offers an average upside of +0.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, DX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.17%). This suggests DX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.